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On Tuesday, BofA Securities analyst Robert Ohmes adjusted the price target for Dollar Tree stock (NASDAQ:DLTR) to $70.00, down from the previous $70.00 while maintaining an Underperform rating. The revision comes amid concerns over increased tariff expenses and other costs impacting the company's financial outlook. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades at $72.84, with analyst targets ranging from $70 to $104, suggesting mixed sentiment in the market.
Ohmes noted that the forecast for Dollar Tree's fiscal year 2026 earnings per share has been reduced to $5.00, which is at the lower end of the company's own guidance range of $5.00 to $5.50. This adjustment reflects the added burden of incremental tariffs and other expenses that the company is expected to incur. InvestingPro analysis reveals that 13 analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates downward, though the company maintains a strong free cash flow yield.
Dollar Tree had provided its guidance on March 26, which included the estimated effects of a 10% tariff on Chinese imports imposed in February 2025. However, this forecast did not account for additional tariffs from China and reciprocal tariffs that were announced on April 2.
The analyst pointed out that direct imports constitute about 40% of Dollar Tree's total retail value purchases, with the majority of these imports coming from China. The anticipated financial strain from the tariffs is thus significant, given the company's reliance on Chinese goods.
Dollar Tree's stock price target reduction by BofA Securities reflects the anticipated challenges the retailer faces as it navigates the evolving tariff landscape and its impact on operating costs.
In other recent news, Dollar Tree has secured a new $1.5 billion revolving credit facility with JPMorgan Chase (NYSE:JPM) Bank, N.A., and other lenders, maturing in 2030. This financial move is part of Dollar Tree's strategy to enhance its balance sheet and financial flexibility. Additionally, Dollar Tree announced a separate 364-day revolving credit facility worth $1 billion, also with JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., maturing in 2026. These developments coincide with the termination of a previous credit agreement from December 2021.
Meanwhile, Dollar Tree received an upgrade from Citi, with analyst Paul Lejuez raising the stock rating from Neutral to Buy and increasing the price target from $76 to $103. Lejuez highlighted Dollar Tree's potential to benefit from the current high-tariff environment by adjusting price points upward, building on past successful price adjustments. In contrast, BMO Capital Markets maintained a Market Perform rating with a $70 price target, expressing concerns over Dollar Tree's digital strategy and the impact of tariff uncertainties.
CFRA analyst Arun Sundaram adjusted Dollar Tree's price target to $74 from $75, maintaining a Hold rating. Sundaram cited the impact of the Family Dollar sale and operational challenges as reasons for the revised target. These recent developments reflect Dollar Tree's ongoing efforts to navigate a complex retail landscape while managing financial and operational strategies.
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