BofA raises HCA Healthcare stock target to $410, maintains Buy

Published 13/05/2025, 20:24
BofA raises HCA Healthcare stock target to $410, maintains Buy

On Tuesday, BofA Securities analyst Kevin Fischbeck increased the price target on HCA Healthcare Inc (NYSE:HCA) to $410 from the previous $370, while reaffirming a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment follows a bullish outlook presented at the BofA Healthcare Conference, where HCA’s Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer, Michael Marks, discussed the company’s performance and prospects. The new target represents potential upside from the current stock price of $368.77, with InvestingPro analysis suggesting the stock is slightly undervalued based on its proprietary Fair Value model.

Fischbeck’s optimism is rooted in HCA’s strong demand for services and its ability to manage costs effectively, as demonstrated by an 11% growth in EBITDA during the first quarter of the year. The company’s robust financial health is reflected in its EBITDA of $14.22 billion and impressive YTD return of 21.31%. The revised price target reflects a higher valuation multiple, moving up to 10.1 times the projected 2025 EBITDA from 9.4 times, indicating increased confidence in HCA’s performance for the current year and aligning with higher multiples observed among its peers. InvestingPro data reveals the company maintains a GREAT financial health score of 3.2/5, with particularly strong marks in profitability and price momentum.

The company experienced a robust beginning to the year with Q1 results, despite facing challenges such as calendar effects and adverse weather conditions. HCA has not provided comments on April volumes but has indicated that the first quarter set a strong foundation for 2025.

Looking ahead, HCA anticipates mid-single-digit growth in same-store net revenue for its ambulatory surgery center (ASC) business. The recent decline in volumes has been attributed to decreases in lower acuity procedures and a reduction in Medicaid and self-pay volumes. Despite these specific challenges, the overall outlook for HCA Healthcare remains positive according to BofA Securities.

In other recent news, HCA Healthcare reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, with earnings per share reaching $6.45, exceeding analysts’ expectations of $5.78. Revenue also surpassed forecasts, coming in at $18.32 billion compared to the predicted $18.26 billion. Despite these positive results, HCA’s stock experienced a decline, reflecting broader market concerns. KeyBanc Capital Markets maintained an Overweight rating on HCA Healthcare, with a price target of $370, following the company’s robust same-store sales growth and effective expense management. RBC Capital Markets, however, adjusted its price target for HCA Healthcare shares to $376 from $384, acknowledging ongoing policy uncertainties affecting the healthcare sector. Additionally, HCA Healthcare announced significant corporate governance changes, including updates to its Board of Directors compensation and amendments to its stock incentive plan. These developments underscore HCA Healthcare’s ongoing efforts to align executive compensation with company performance and shareholder interests.

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