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BofA Securities downgraded Cadre Holdings Inc. (NYSE: CDRE) from Buy to Neutral on Friday, while reducing its price target to $38.00 from $45.00. The $1.47 billion market cap company currently trades at a P/E ratio of 38.5x, and according to InvestingPro analysis, the stock’s RSI indicates overbought territory.
The downgrade reflects BofA’s shifted view on Cadre’s growth potential, particularly regarding inorganic growth which has been a significant component of the company’s story and valuation. While the company has maintained a solid 10% revenue growth over the last twelve months and earned an overall "GREAT" financial health score from InvestingPro, the firm expects deals to be delayed or slowed in the current environment, with increased borrowing costs.
BofA anticipates pressure on Cadre’s ability to pass through costs along with challenges to organic growth. The firm projects total company sales to increase only mid-single digits year-over-year, which it believes no longer supports Cadre’s premium valuation.
The research firm lowered its earnings per share estimates for Cadre to $1.30 for 2025 (from $1.35 previously), $1.50 for 2026 (from $1.60), and $1.65 for 2027 (from $1.80).
BofA’s new price target of $38 is derived from a 14x EV/EBITDA multiple on 2026 estimates, reduced from the previous 17x multiple on 2025 estimates. Based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, the stock appears slightly overvalued at current levels. Discover more insights and 7 additional ProTips for CDRE in the comprehensive Pro Research Report.
In other recent news, Cadre Holdings Inc. reported a strong financial performance for the first quarter of 2025, with earnings per share (EPS) of $0.23, significantly surpassing the forecast of $0.15. The company achieved net sales of $130.1 million, exceeding the anticipated $125.52 million. Jefferies analyst Sheila Kahyaoglu responded by raising the price target for Cadre Holdings to $42, maintaining a Buy rating, highlighting the company’s robust execution despite a 6% revenue decline. Cadre’s recent acquisition of Carr Engineering is expected to enhance its revenue and EBITDA guidance for 2025 by 8% and 6%, respectively, positioning the company for further growth.
The acquisition is seen as a key driver for Cadre Holdings, with integration efforts anticipated to strengthen the company’s financial position. Jefferies noted that Cadre’s current EBITDA multiple stands at a 2% discount compared to the market, suggesting potential for further stock value appreciation. The company’s gross margin improved by 130 basis points year-over-year, reflecting effective management and operational efficiency. Additionally, Cadre Holdings has provided a positive outlook for 2025, projecting net sales between $618 million and $648 million and adjusted EBITDA ranging from $112 million to $122 million.
The firm continues to focus on mergers and acquisitions, with the recent completion of the Carr Engineering acquisition expected to bolster its market position. Cadre’s strategic initiatives and financial performance have been well-received by the market, indicating investor confidence in the company’s growth trajectory.
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