BofA Securities lowers Kirby stock price target to $107 on softening demand

Published 03/09/2025, 11:12
BofA Securities lowers Kirby stock price target to $107 on softening demand

Investing.com - BofA Securities has lowered its price target on Kirby Corporation (NYSE:KEX) to $107.00 from $110.00 while maintaining a Buy rating, citing concerns about softening demand in the company’s inland barge business. According to InvestingPro data, the stock has seen significant price weakness recently, trading at $95.01, with analyst targets ranging from $107 to $125.

The firm expects Kirby’s inland barge utilization to ease into the high-80% range in the third quarter of 2025, down from the low to mid-90% range in the second quarter and slightly below the company’s target of approximately 90% for the period. This utilization level would be similar to what Kirby experienced in the third quarter of 2023. Despite these challenges, InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains strong financial health with a current ratio of 1.74 and operates with moderate debt levels.

BofA Securities attributes the continued weakness to increased European chemical competition, refinery maintenance, and lighter crude oil crack spreads, which shift some oil transportation from barges to pipelines. These factors extend the pressures Kirby faced during the second quarter of 2025.

In response to the demand softness, BofA Securities anticipates Kirby will reduce costs by decreasing its towboat fleet, potentially removing some of its approximately 70 chartered-in vessels from its total fleet of 290 towboats. The firm estimates that reducing the chartered fleet by 20 vessels could provide up to 150 basis points in margin relief, with savings of around $0.5 million per boat per quarter. The company’s financial resilience is reflected in its healthy gross profit margin of 32% and return on equity of 9%, as reported by InvestingPro.

The research note indicates that Kirby’s inland demand could potentially see some improvement from heavier crude imports that may increase in the fourth quarter of 2025. With an overall "GOOD" Financial Health score from InvestingPro and management actively buying back shares, the company appears positioned to navigate current market challenges.

In other recent news, Kirby Corporation reported its Q2 2025 earnings, which showed a slight beat on both earnings per share (EPS) and revenue forecasts. The company achieved an EPS of $1.67, surpassing the forecasted $1.66. Revenue reached $855.45 million, slightly above the expected $852.51 million. Despite these positive results, Kirby’s stock experienced a sharp decline, attributed to broader market uncertainties and specific challenges facing the company. Investors might find it noteworthy that these developments come amid a complex market environment. The company’s performance in surpassing both EPS and revenue expectations highlights its ability to navigate current economic conditions. Analyst opinions and future projections were not detailed in the recent reports. These updates provide investors with critical insights into Kirby’s financial health and market positioning.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.