Canadian National Railway price target lowered to $102 by BofA Securities

Published 29/09/2025, 11:06
Canadian National Railway price target lowered to $102 by BofA Securities

Investing.com - BofA Securities has reduced its price target on Canadian National Railway (NYSE:CNI) to $102.00 from $106.00 while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. The railway giant, currently trading at $92.88 and commanding a market capitalization of $58 billion, has maintained an impressive dividend payment track record for 30 consecutive years, currently yielding 2.76%. According to InvestingPro analysis, the stock appears slightly undervalued at current levels.

The railway company’s third-quarter-to-date Revenue Ton Miles (RTMs) are up 0.2% year-over-year, exceeding BofA’s previous forecast of a 1.5% decline. The stronger performance reflects volume growth across most carload categories, with notable exceptions in Grains & Fertilizers, affected by a delayed grain harvest, and autos due to tariff-related shifts.

Intermodal shipments have shown particular strength, increasing 10.2% year-over-year compared to BofA’s earlier 6% target, with domestic intermodal rising 23% and international up 5%. Coal shipments also outperformed expectations, growing 4.2% versus the projected 5% decline.

Canadian National noted that intermodal strength has been primarily driven by domestic volumes, with some parcel volumes returning due to service improvements. The company is also benefiting from comparison against last August’s labor lockout.

Forest Products have performed better than anticipated, though still showing a 3.4% year-over-year decline, with BofA highlighting potential risks from the ongoing Section 232 investigation on timber and lumber imports that could increase tariff levels from the current 35% on Canadian lumber imports and further pressure demand. Despite these challenges, the company has demonstrated resilience with a 0.63% revenue growth over the last twelve months. Access the comprehensive CNI Pro Research Report, along with analysis of 1,400+ other stocks, exclusively on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Canadian National Railway reported second-quarter 2025 earnings per share of C$1.87, aligning closely with analyst expectations. Bernstein SocGen Group adjusted its price target for the company to C$149.00 from C$158.00, maintaining a Market Perform rating. Benchmark reiterated its Hold rating, noting the earnings per share came in just between their forecast of C$1.88 and the consensus estimate of C$1.86. Wells Fargo also revised its price target for Canadian National Railway to $117.00 from $120.00, maintaining an Overweight rating. The firm cited challenges such as mix headwinds and increased fuel and casualty costs affecting the company’s margins. Additionally, Canadian National Railway has expanded its firefighting capabilities with new railcars, Oceanus and Amphitrite, each equipped with 25,000 gallons of water. Furthermore, Madeleine Paquin, former CEO of LOGISTEC Corporation, has been appointed to the company’s Board of Directors, effective October 29, 2025. These developments reflect the company’s ongoing efforts to enhance its operational capabilities and governance structure.

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