Canadian Natural Resources stock outlook steady with unique execution strengths, says RBC

Published 14/01/2025, 17:10
Canadian Natural Resources stock outlook steady with unique execution strengths, says RBC

On Tuesday, RBC Capital Markets adjusted its price target for Canadian Natural Resources Limited (TSX:CNQ:CN) (NYSE: CNQ), bringing it down to Cdn$62.00 from the previous Cdn$63.00. The company, currently valued at $66.9 billion in market capitalization, trades at a P/E ratio of 12.7. Despite the reduced target, the firm has maintained an Outperform rating on the company's stock.

The RBC Capital analyst believes that Canadian Natural Resources stands out on a global scale due to its management committee structure and shareholder alignment. These unique factors, along with the company's long-life, low-decline asset portfolio, which requires moderate sustaining capital, enable Canadian Natural Resources to generate superior free cash flow. According to InvestingPro data, the company has maintained dividend payments for 24 consecutive years, currently offering a 5.03% yield.

The new price target of Cdn$62.00 per share is based on an equal weighting of two financial metrics. First, it considers a multiple of 1.4 times the firm's Net Asset Value (NAV). Second, it factors in an implied 2025E debt-adjusted cash flow multiple of 11.0 times, based on mid-cycle commodity prices. These multiples are chosen to reflect the company's strong execution capability, the quality of its asset base, and its potential for free cash flow generation.

RBC Capital's analysis indicates that Canadian Natural Resources is a top performer among its peers. The company is included in RBC Capital's Global Energy Best Ideas list, with a particular emphasis on its role as a leading producer. InvestingPro analysis confirms this strong performance, highlighting the company's robust financial health score and consistently strong returns over both five and ten-year periods.

Additionally, the firm has expressed a preference for Suncor Energy (NYSE:SU) as the top integrated oil company in Canada. Investors seeking deeper insights can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively on InvestingPro, which covers this and 1,400+ other top stocks with detailed analysis and actionable intelligence.

The Outperform rating by RBC Capital suggests that the firm expects Canadian Natural Resources' stock to perform better than the average return of the stocks it covers over the next 12 to 18 months. The price target revision reflects a careful assessment of the company's financial prospects and market position.

In other recent news, Canadian Natural Resources Limited (CNRL) announced robust Q3 results, with significant contributions from its oil sands mining operations that achieved a record monthly production. The company reported an average production of 1.363 million BOE per day in Q3 and generated CAD 3.9 billion in adjusted funds flow and CAD 2.1 billion in adjusted net earnings. Shareholders benefited from an increase in quarterly dividends, receiving CAD 1.9 billion through dividends and share buybacks.

Adding to these developments, CNRL has acquired Chevron (NYSE:CVX)'s interests in the Athabasca Oil (OTC:ATHOF) Sands Project and Duvernay assets, a move expected to enhance its production capacity by approximately 62,500 barrels per day. This acquisition is anticipated to close in Q4 2024.

CNRL maintains a strong financial position with net debt at CAD 9.3 billion and liquidity of roughly CAD 6.2 billion. The management aims to enhance capital efficiency and cost optimization, particularly amid lower commodity prices. The integration of Chevron assets is projected to improve breakeven costs modestly.

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