Cantor Fitzgerald initiates SPS Commerce stock with overweight rating

Published 03/06/2025, 13:16
Cantor Fitzgerald initiates SPS Commerce stock with overweight rating

On Tuesday, Cantor Fitzgerald analysts initiated coverage on SPS Commerce stock (NASDAQ:SPSC) with an Overweight rating and a price target of $170. The analysts based their assessment on shares trading at 7.5 times their calendar year 2026 revenue estimate of $860 million, contrasting with the current enterprise value to 2026 revenue multiple of 6.2 times. Currently trading at $139, the stock appears undervalued according to InvestingPro analysis, with analysts setting targets between $159 and $210.

SPS Commerce is recognized for its consistent growth model, which is driven by predictable and resilient demand irrespective of macroeconomic conditions. This has enabled the company to achieve high-teens topline growth annually, demonstrated by its impressive 19.5% revenue growth in the last twelve months and five-year revenue CAGR of 18%. The firm operates within a $6.5 billion U.S. market and is expanding its international presence to tap into a $4.5 billion to $5 billion international opportunity. InvestingPro data reveals strong financial health metrics and 11 additional key insights available to subscribers.

The company holds a strong competitive position, bolstered by an extensive retail network and integrated solutions. Switching electronic data interchange (EDI) providers is noted to be highly disruptive, which enhances SPS Commerce’s competitive moat.

SPS Commerce is also focused on expanding its product portfolio to drive upselling opportunities. The company’s wallet share with customers currently stands at 30-35%, indicating significant potential for growth. The firm continues to leverage mergers and acquisitions to expand its total addressable market and facilitate cross-selling.

In other recent news, SPS Commerce reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing analysts’ expectations with an earnings per share of $0.86 and revenue of $181.5 million, both slightly above forecasts. The company achieved its 97th consecutive quarter of revenue growth, with a notable 21% year-over-year increase in revenue. This growth was driven in part by the acquisition of CarbonSix, which added 8,500 customers to its network. Despite the impressive earnings, SPS Commerce’s Analytics segment saw a 2% year-over-year decline, attributed to broader macroeconomic uncertainties. Needham analysts maintained their Buy rating and $210 price target on SPS Commerce, praising the company’s robust performance and resilience. Additionally, shareholders at SPS Commerce’s 2025 Annual Meeting re-elected all director nominees and ratified KPMG LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year. The advisory Say-on-Pay vote on executive compensation was also passed with significant support. These developments reflect continued confidence in the company’s leadership and strategic direction.

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