Capital Power stock rating cut to hold by Jefferies on load allocation limits

Published 12/06/2025, 11:04
Capital Power stock rating cut to hold by Jefferies on load allocation limits

Capital Power Corp . (TSX:CPX) (OTC:CPXWF) was downgraded from buy to hold by Jefferies on Thursday, despite a slight increase in its price target to C$60.00 from C$59.00.

The downgrade comes as Jefferies cited limitations in the Alberta Electric System Operator’s (AESO) Large Load Phase 1 allocation framework, which restricts potential upside from hyperscaler customers. Jefferies estimates this limitation represents "just C$3.50/sh at hypothetical 300 MW allocation."

Higher AESO power prices are boosting estimates and valuation for the Canadian power producer, according to Jefferies. The research firm noted that bill affordability may become "a watch item into late 2020’s" as these price increases continue.

The firm indicated that while U.S. recontracting upside remains intact for Capital Power, management appears "less resolute on timing" for these opportunities.

Capital Power operates power generation facilities across North America, with a portfolio that includes natural gas, wind, solar, waste heat, and solid fuel facilities.

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