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On Tuesday, Brenntag AG (ETR:BNRGn) (BNR:GR) (OTC:BNTGY) received an upgraded stock rating from CFRA analyst Alan Lim Seong Chun, moving from Sell to Hold, while maintaining a price target of EUR55.00. CFRA’s decision reflects a reassessment of the company’s risk-reward balance following a recent decline in its share price, which has brought the valuation closer to the historical average.
The upgrade to a Hold rating, which translates to 3-STARS from the previous 2-STARS (Sell), is grounded in the belief that despite ongoing structural and macroeconomic challenges, the current share price more accurately reflects the company’s value. Brenntag’s shares have been under pressure due to a combination of cyclical industry softness, structural inefficiencies within the company, and hurdles in ongoing integration processes.
Brenntag reported a modest sequential revenue increase of 2.1% in the first quarter of 2025. However, the company is still navigating difficult conditions, which are expected to persist. In May 2025, Brenntag’s management reaffirmed its operating EBITA guidance for the year, projecting a range between EUR1.1 billion and EUR1.3 billion, but they anticipate that the actual results will be at the lower end of this spectrum.
CFRA has maintained its earnings per share (EPS) forecasts for Brenntag at EUR3.89 for 2025 and EUR4.52 for 2026. The price target of EUR55.00 is based on a forward price-to-earnings (P/E) ratio of 12.1 times, applied to the projected 2026 EPS, which is in line with the company’s three-year average P/E ratio. This valuation approach suggests that the current price target appropriately reflects Brenntag’s earnings potential over the next year.
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