CFRA upgrades Dollar General stock rating to hold, raises price target

Published 03/06/2025, 21:12
CFRA upgrades Dollar General stock rating to hold, raises price target

On Tuesday, CFRA analysts upgraded Dollar General stock (NYSE: DG) from a Sell to a Hold rating. The analysts also raised the price target to $118 from $75, reflecting a positive outlook following the company’s encouraging first-quarter results. According to InvestingPro data, 11 analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward, with the stock showing a strong 30% gain year-to-date.

The analysts noted that Dollar General’s recent performance indicates that its "Back to Basics" strategy is gaining traction. The company’s strong finish to the quarter and positive traffic trends in May contributed to the revised outlook. Additionally, the focus on store remodels and closing underperforming locations is expected to bolster same-store sales trends. The company maintains healthy liquidity with a current ratio of 1.19, suggesting strong operational efficiency.Want deeper insights? InvestingPro offers comprehensive analysis of Dollar General’s financial health, including exclusive Fair Value models and 6 additional ProTips.

The new valuation places Dollar General stock near the high end of its historical trading range. Analysts believe this is justified by the company’s recent performance and strategic initiatives. The report highlighted that tariff risks are considered manageable, and gross margins are expected to improve due to reduced inventory theft and damages.

Despite the positive developments, CFRA analysts expressed concerns about the potential need for Dollar General to invest further in pricing or wages to maintain sales momentum. This could impact the company’s ability to achieve its operating margin target of 6% to 7% by fiscal year 2029, compared to 4.2% last year. Currently, the company maintains a gross profit margin of 29.59% and trades at a P/E ratio of 21.91x, with InvestingPro analysis suggesting the stock is slightly overvalued at current levels.

In other recent news, Dollar General Corporation (NYSE:DG) reported strong financial results for the first quarter of 2025, surpassing Wall Street expectations. The company posted earnings per share (EPS) of $1.78, exceeding the forecast of $1.46, while revenue reached $10.4 billion, slightly above the anticipated $10.25 billion. Dollar General also announced plans to open 575 new stores in 2025, reflecting its growth strategy. Analysts from Oppenheimer and JPMorgan noted that Dollar General’s performance was bolstered by strategic initiatives and strong consumer demand. The company experienced a 2.4% increase in same-store sales, driven by growth in various product categories. Additionally, Dollar General’s cash flow from operations increased by 27.6% to $847 million, highlighting its robust financial health. The company remains focused on maintaining its competitive pricing strategy amid economic uncertainties.

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