Citi cuts Devon Energy price target to $43, maintains buy rating

Published 04/04/2025, 11:52
Citi cuts Devon Energy price target to $43, maintains buy rating

On Friday, Citi analyst Scott Gruber adjusted the price target for Devon Energy (NYSE: DVN), reducing it from $46.00 to $43.00, while retaining a Buy rating on the stock. The adjustment comes as the stock has experienced significant volatility, declining nearly 10% in the past week alone. According to InvestingPro data, Devon Energy appears undervalued at current levels, with analysts maintaining targets ranging from $41 to $66. Gruber’s revision follows a recent review of the company’s financial model, which included minor modifications to the expected commodity prices and hedging gains or losses.

Devon Energy’s first-quarter cash flow per share (CFPS) estimate has been slightly raised to $2.72, aligning with the consensus average. The company maintains strong financial health with a "GOOD" overall score from InvestingPro, supported by a robust gross profit margin of 53% and a healthy current ratio of 1.04. Despite this, Devon’s production in the Eagle Ford region is anticipated to see a temporary decline following the end of its partnership with BP (NYSE:BP). This is because the turn-in-line (TIL) activities are currently skewed towards the BP side. As a result, Gruber projects Devon’s oil production to be around 382 thousand barrels per day (kbpd) and total production volumes to be approximately 812 thousand barrels of oil equivalent per day (kboepd) for the second quarter, which is at the lower end of the company’s guidance range.

The analyst also noted that while tariffs are a current industry concern, Devon Energy’s exposure, primarily through Oil Country Tubular Goods (OCTG), could be mitigated by the company’s practice of ordering OCTG nine months in advance. This forward-looking strategy may limit the impact of tariffs on Devon’s operations in 2025.

Gruber expects that the focal points of Devon Energy’s first-quarter earnings call, scheduled for May 6, 2025, will be the company’s targets for improving operating costs and capital efficiency. The company has demonstrated its commitment to shareholder returns, maintaining dividend payments for 33 consecutive years, with a current yield of 3.29%. Additionally, the potential sale of equity investments and management’s perspective on the market value are also anticipated to be key topics of discussion. Investors seeking deeper insights into Devon Energy’s fundamentals can access comprehensive analysis through InvestingPro’s detailed research reports, which include additional ProTips and advanced metrics.

In other recent news, Devon Energy Corporation (NYSE:DVN) has been the focus of several analyst updates and company announcements. Bernstein SocGen Group raised its price target for Devon Energy to $48, maintaining an Outperform rating following a strong fourth-quarter earnings report. The company’s adjusted earnings per share exceeded expectations, driven by higher realized gas prices and record production levels. Meanwhile, Benchmark analysts upheld their Buy rating with a $44 price target, noting Devon Energy’s earnings potential, with first-quarter projections surpassing consensus estimates.

BMO Capital Markets also maintained an Outperform rating for the company, with a $52 price target, highlighting Devon Energy’s solid financial position and operational performance. In corporate governance news, board member John Krenicki Jr. announced his retirement, effective at the end of his current term, with no disagreements cited regarding the company’s operations. Devon Energy’s strategic focus remains on maintaining high returns and capital returns to shareholders, supported by a strong balance sheet and efficient operations. The company plans to return up to 70% of free cash flow to shareholders and has set a capital expenditure budget of $3.65 billion for the upcoming year. These developments underscore Devon Energy’s continued emphasis on operational excellence and shareholder value.

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