Citi cuts Permian Resources stock target to $17, keeps Buy rating

Published 03/03/2025, 23:32
Citi cuts Permian Resources stock target to $17, keeps Buy rating

On Monday, Citi analysts revised their price target for Permian Resources Corp (NYSE: PR) stock, reducing it to $17.00 from the previous $18.00, while maintaining a Buy rating. Currently trading at $12.94, near its 52-week low of $12.62, the stock appears undervalued according to InvestingPro analysis. The adjustment follows Permian Resources’ release of its fourth-quarter earnings for the year 2024, which showcased an adjusted cash flow of approximately $904.1 million. This figure exceeded both the consensus and Citi’s own estimates.

The company’s financial performance for the quarter was attributed to production numbers that surpassed expectations and capital expenditures that aligned with projections. With impressive revenue growth of 60.23% and a robust gross profit margin of 75.07%, the company demonstrated strong operational execution. Additionally, operating expenses were reported to be lower than anticipated. Citi’s analysis suggests that production could slightly exceed the mid-point of the company’s guidance, with capital spending potentially falling below initial estimates. The analysts noted potential for increased production due to improved drilling efficiency and the use of longer laterals.

Despite the reduction in the price target, Citi’s analysts expressed a positive outlook on Permian Resources, citing a "modestly strong operational print." They emphasized the balancing act between the volatile commodity market conditions and the company’s ongoing improvements in operational efficiencies. Trading at an attractive P/E ratio of 8.45 and maintaining a "GREAT" financial health score on InvestingPro, which offers comprehensive analysis and additional insights through its Pro Research Report, the company shows promising fundamentals. The potential for mergers and acquisitions was also mentioned as a factor supporting the Buy rating.

Permian Resources’ financial results and the subsequent price target adjustment by Citi come at a time when energy companies are navigating a challenging market environment. With an EBITDA of $3.64 billion and strong operational metrics, the company’s ability to outperform in terms of production and manage expenses effectively has been recognized by the analysts as a sign of strength amidst market volatility. For deeper insights into Permian Resources’ valuation and growth prospects, investors can access detailed analysis and additional ProTips through InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Permian Resources Corp reported its fourth-quarter 2024 earnings, revealing an earnings per share (EPS) of $0.29, which did not meet the forecasted $0.35. The company’s revenue also fell short of expectations, coming in at $1.3 billion against a forecast of $1.32 billion. Despite these misses, Permian Resources achieved record free cash flow per share and maintained a strong liquidity position with $3 billion, including $500 million in cash. The company projects an 8% growth in oil production for 2025 and plans to drill approximately 285 wells. Analysts from RBC Capital Markets and Tuohy Securities have shown interest in the company’s M&A strategy and operational efficiencies, highlighting the company’s focus on smaller, high-value deals. Permian Resources’ strategic focus remains on the Permian Basin, and it aims to maintain its competitive edge through cost efficiency and strategic investments. These developments reflect the company’s ongoing efforts to maximize shareholder value and maintain a strong financial position.

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