Citi cuts Vidrala stock target to EUR99; maintains neutral rating

Published 17/04/2025, 10:18
Citi cuts Vidrala stock target to EUR99; maintains neutral rating

On Thursday, Citi analysts adjusted their financial outlook for Vidrala SA (BME:VID:SM), a European glass packaging company. The firm’s price target was lowered to EUR99.00 from EUR103.00, while the stock maintained a Neutral rating. The revision by Citi reflects a cautious stance on the company’s year-over-year volume growth, which is expected to be lower following a robust performance in 2024, attributed to the Porto Ferreira facility’s increased production.

The analysts at Citi anticipate that Vidrala (LON:0NV7) may face challenges in pricing negotiations due to the decline in gas prices. However, they also note that lower energy costs could significantly benefit the company, particularly because Vidrala is less hedged against energy price fluctuations compared to its competitors. This factor is seen as a potential major tailwind for the firm’s financial health.

Vidrala’s market position is somewhat protected due to its substantial presence in Southern Europe and its focus on the mass-market beer and wine segments. These factors are believed to offer the company a degree of resilience amid trade uncertainties. Despite these advantages, Citi analysts have chosen to reiterate their Neutral rating, citing no compelling reasons for a significant upward price movement.

The analysts have also adjusted their volume assumptions for Vidrala, projecting a decrease from the second quarter of 2025 to 2026. This change is based on the current trade uncertainties and observed pauses in customer orders, which could impact the company’s performance. The updated financial guidance from Citi provides investors with a revised expectation for Vidrala’s market trajectory in the coming months.

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