Can anything shut down the Gold rally?
Investing.com - Citi downgraded Jumbo Interactive Ltd (ASX:JIN) from Buy to Neutral and reduced its price target to AUD11.30 from AUD14.60, citing concerns about lottery revenue and market share trends.
The downgrade comes ahead of Jumbo’s fiscal year 2025 results, scheduled for release on Tuesday, August 26. Citi expects the company to report an EBITDA of $61.6 million, representing a decline of approximately 19% compared to the previous year.
Citi identified potential downside risk to Powerball lottery revenue extending into fiscal year 2027, attributable to weak like-for-like performance and anticipated game changes that could impact Jumbo’s overall revenue stream. The firm also noted that market share trends continue to remain subdued for the lottery ticket reseller.
Despite current challenges, Citi projects that Jumbo’s market share should recover in fiscal year 2026, assuming a normalized pattern of Powerball jackpots and increased marketing expenditure by the company.
The rating adjustment prompted Citi to revise its EBITDA forecasts downward by approximately 4-7% across the forecast period, resulting in the new, lower price target of AUD11.30 for Jumbo Interactive shares.
This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.