Citi maintains Buy rating on Alstom shares, EUR26.00 target

Published 21/01/2025, 19:14
Citi maintains Buy rating on Alstom shares, EUR26.00 target

On Tuesday, Citi reaffirmed its Buy rating on Alstom (EPA:ALSO) SA (ALO:FP) (OTC: ALSMY), with a steady price target of EUR26.00. The decision follows the company's announcement of orders and sales that surpassed expectations, coupled with a confirmation of its financial guidance for the year and mid-term outlook. According to InvestingPro analysis, Alstom appears undervalued at its current market capitalization of $9.96 billion.

The transportation giant reported that while its car production is projected to be slightly lower due to some delays in serial production, the robust performance of its Services and Systems divisions—both known for their higher margins—has contributed to revenue surpassing forecasts for the quarter.

The company has demonstrated strong momentum with revenue growth of 6.21% and an impressive 85.04% price return over the past year. This has also bolstered the company's confidence in meeting its full-year revenue targets.

Citi analysts noted that Alstom had previously disclosed large orders, but the volume of base orders, which exceeded forecasts, was a positive surprise. Sales figures also outperformed expectations, indicating a strong financial position for the company. InvestingPro subscribers have access to 8 additional key insights about Alstom's financial health and growth prospects.

Despite the minor setback in car production, Citi views Alstom's quarterly results as a sign of positive momentum. The company is scheduled to conduct a conference call at 5:30 pm to discuss these developments further. Citi's analysis suggests that the results reflect significant progress for Alstom, and the firm remains optimistic about the company's financial trajectory, which aligns with InvestingPro's analysis showing expectations for net income growth this year.

In other recent news, Alstom SA has been in the spotlight for several significant developments. Goldman Sachs downgraded Alstom's stock rating from 'Neutral' to 'Sell', with a price target adjustment to €18.50, despite the company's impressive performance in the past year. This downgrade was announced due to concerns over Alstom's ability to sustain its strong performance from 2024 into the following year, as indicated by Stifel analysts.

Additionally, Alstom reported a strong performance for the first half of fiscal year 2024-2025, despite various supply chain disruptions. The company's order intake stood at €10.9 billion, accompanied by a 5.6% increase in organic sales, and the adjusted EBIT margin reached 5.9%, with a full-year target of 6.5%. Although the free cash flow was negative at €138 million, Alstom anticipates a positive turnaround in the second half of the year, aiming for a full-year target between €300 million and €500 million.

Lastly, Alstom secured noteworthy orders including a €3.6 billion project in Cologne, a €650 million signaling project in Australia, and an €850 million high-speed train order in France. However, it's worth noting that supply chain issues have led to delays in 60% to 70% of projects, impacting production.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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