Citi maintains Neutral rating on Vipshop stock with $17 price target

Published 30/06/2025, 19:56
Citi maintains Neutral rating on Vipshop stock with $17 price target

Investing.com - Citi has reiterated its Neutral rating and $17.00 price target on Vipshop Holdings (NYSE:VIPS) ahead of the company’s second-quarter 2025 earnings report, scheduled for August 15. Currently trading at $15.02, VIPS shows strong financial fundamentals with an "GREAT" health score according to InvestingPro analysis.

The firm now expects Vipshop to report a 4.5% year-over-year decline in second-quarter net revenue to RMB25.7 billion, a downward revision from its previous estimate of a 2.7% decrease. This projection comes despite the seasonally stronger promotional period during the "6.18" shopping festival, when gross merchandise volume likely returned to slight positive year-over-year growth. The company has maintained relatively stable revenues, with a 5-year CAGR of 3%.

Citi forecasts Vipshop will maintain a relatively stable gross profit margin of over 23% and a net margin of 8% for the second quarter of 2025, supported by steady expenses management.

The investment bank has made minor adjustments to its full-year revenue and non-GAAP net profit estimates to reflect the slightly softer-than-expected second-quarter performance. Despite these revisions, Citi’s price target remains unchanged at $17, based on a multiple of 7 times its revised 2026 earnings per share estimate of $2.43.

Citi believes Vipshop’s share price will likely remain range-bound in the near term, citing a lack of catalysts that could drive significant movement in either direction.

In other recent news, Vipshop Holdings reported its first-quarter 2025 results, revealing a 5% year-over-year decline in revenue and a 4% decrease in active customers. Despite these setbacks, the company experienced an 18% increase in SVIP membership and a resurgence in apparel sales. Benchmark maintained a Hold rating on Vipshop, citing cautious optimism about a recovery in Gross Merchandise Value (GMV) but anticipating a slight revenue decline due to macroeconomic challenges. Meanwhile, Jefferies retained its Buy rating with a price target of $18.30, noting that Vipshop’s total revenue matched consensus forecasts and that non-GAAP earnings exceeded expectations. However, the company’s revenue guidance for the second quarter disappointed investors, projecting figures below analyst estimates. The revenue miss was highlighted by a first-quarter revenue of RMB26.3 billion, which fell short of the expected RMB26.53 billion. Despite surpassing earnings expectations with adjusted earnings per share of RMB4.66, the revenue shortfall and weak outlook led to a notable decline in Vipshop’s stock. Vipshop’s management plans to hold a conference call to discuss these results further, providing additional insights into the company’s performance and future expectations.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.