Citi maintains Ollie’s Bargain Outlet stock buy rating on market share gains

Published 23/06/2025, 10:30
Citi maintains Ollie’s Bargain Outlet stock buy rating on market share gains

Investing.com - Citi has reiterated its buy rating and $133.00 price target on Ollie’s Bargain Outlet (NASDAQ:OLLI) stock, which currently trades at $121.82 and near its 52-week high of $122.16. The firm maintains its positive outlook on the company’s position as a market share gainer in the current retail environment. According to InvestingPro data, the company has demonstrated solid revenue growth of 8.7% over the last twelve months.

The research firm highlighted Ollie’s potential to benefit from tariff disruptions to inventory, challenges faced by smaller retailers, and consumers’ increasing focus on value shopping. With a strong current ratio of 2.87 and good overall financial health, Ollie’s appears well-positioned to capitalize on market opportunities. Citi specifically pointed to two near-term opportunities for the discount retailer.

The first opportunity involves the recent Ollie’s Army Night event held on June 22, which coincided with rising temperatures in the Eastern United States that could boost sales in warm weather categories. This promotional event targeted members of the company’s loyalty program.

Secondly, Citi noted that At Home’s recent bankruptcy announcement presents Ollie’s with opportunities to acquire merchandise, real estate locations, and capture additional sales. The firm’s preliminary estimates suggest Ollie’s could see a same-store sales lift of approximately 40 to 150 basis points if all At Home stores eventually close.

While acknowledging that Ollie’s stock trades at a premium valuation with a P/E ratio of 37.02, Citi maintained that the discount retailer remains its top pick in the sector due to these growth catalysts and market positioning. InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently trading above its Fair Value. Discover 12 additional key insights and comprehensive analysis available in the Pro Research Report, along with real-time valuation metrics on InvestingPro.

In other recent news, Ollie’s Bargain Outlet reported its first-quarter results, showing a comparable-store sales increase of 2.6%, which exceeded both UBS’s estimate and the consensus. Despite the challenging economic environment, the company maintained steady earnings per share guidance for the full year, as noted by Piper Sandler analysts. KeyBanc analysts highlighted Ollie’s strong first-quarter performance, leading to a raised top-line guidance for 2025, although earnings forecasts remained unchanged. UBS reaffirmed its Neutral rating on Ollie’s stock, while Piper Sandler adjusted its price target slightly downward to $123, maintaining an Overweight rating. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) analysts maintained an Equalweight rating, emphasizing Ollie’s potential in the closeout industry. KeyBanc reiterated its Overweight rating with a $135 price target, underscoring confidence in Ollie’s growth prospects. RBC Capital also maintained its price target at $133, with an Outperform rating, noting the importance of the second quarter for investor sentiment. The company is seen as well-positioned to benefit from consumers seeking value, with analysts expressing optimism about its future performance.

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