Citi resumes Kellanova coverage with neutral rating, $83.50 target

Published 29/05/2025, 10:48
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Thursday witnessed Citi analysts reinstating coverage of Kellanova (NYSE: NYSE:K) shares with a Neutral rating, accompanied by a price target set at $83.50. The stock, currently trading at $82.26, sits near its 52-week high of $83.22, with InvestingPro data showing the company commands a market capitalization of $28.54 billion. In a statement, the analysts conveyed that their renewed outlook follows a hiatus where the rating was suspended. They emphasized that the current target price and rating hinge on the successful completion of Kellanova’s pending acquisition.

The analysts at Citi articulated their position, stating that if the acquisition does not materialize, Kellanova’s stock value could suffer a significant drop. This potential decline is attributed to the company’s recent challenges, which include sales declines (revenue down 2.68% in the last twelve months to $12.63 billion), margin pressures, and lower valuation multiples when compared to historical figures typical of large-cap U.S. food companies. InvestingPro analysis reveals that seven analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations downward for the upcoming period.

The report from Citi also highlighted that their financial estimates for Kellanova remain unaltered despite the resumption of coverage. This suggests that the analysts have not modified their expectations for the company’s financial performance following the period during which the rating was suspended. According to InvestingPro, Kellanova maintains strong fundamentals, including a 55-year track record of consecutive dividend payments, though current analysis suggests the stock may be slightly overvalued at current levels.

Kellanova’s stock rating and price target announcement come at a critical juncture for the company, as it navigates through the acquisition process. The Citi analysts’ neutral stance appears to reflect a cautious optimism contingent upon the successful finalization of the acquisition deal.

Investors and market watchers are expected to closely monitor Kellanova’s progress with its pending acquisition, as it seems to be a pivotal factor in the company’s future valuation and overall market performance. The outcome of this transaction could potentially have a notable impact on Kellanova’s stock in the near term.

In other recent news, Kellanova reported first-quarter earnings that fell short of analyst expectations, with adjusted earnings per share of $0.90 missing the consensus estimate of $1.01. The company’s revenue also came in below projections at $3.08 billion, compared to the anticipated $3.18 billion, marking a 2.5% decrease from the previous year. Despite this, CEO Steve Cahillane expressed optimism about the company’s strong top-line growth driven by emerging markets and snacks businesses. In the midst of these financial updates, Kellanova announced a significant executive change, with John Renwick appointed as the new Chief Financial Officer following Amit Banati’s resignation. This transition was formally disclosed in an SEC filing.

Further developments include the ongoing acquisition process by Mars, which has influenced Kellanova’s financial strategies. Both DA Davidson and Stifel have maintained their respective Neutral and Hold ratings on Kellanova’s stock, each with a price target of $83.50. DA Davidson noted that the earnings beat was due to reduced operational costs following the acquisition news. Meanwhile, Stifel highlighted a slight organic revenue increase of 0.7% but pointed out a contraction in gross margin and reduced operating leverage. Kellanova has refrained from providing forward-looking guidance due to the pending acquisition, leading analysts to adopt a cautious stance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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