Clear Street initiates coverage on MSC Income Fund stock with Buy rating

Published 28/10/2025, 09:38
Clear Street initiates coverage on MSC Income Fund stock with Buy rating

Investing.com - Clear Street initiated coverage on MSC Income Fund Inc (NYSE:MSIF) with a Buy rating and a $15.00 price target on Tuesday. The stock, currently trading at $13.54, offers a substantial 10.75% dividend yield according to InvestingPro data, making it one of the higher-yielding options in its sector.

The research firm highlighted MSIF’s focus on first-lien private loans to sponsored middle-market companies, which represent 60% of its portfolio, alongside a legacy lower-middle-market portfolio making up 37%. The total portfolio amounts to $1.3 billion with an 11.9% yield. With a market capitalization of $717 million and an overall Financial Health score of "FAIR" on InvestingPro, the company maintains stable fundamentals despite recent market volatility.

Clear Street noted that with only 0.75x debt-to-equity, MSIF has room to expand leverage while maintaining a sustainable dividend. The fund is strategically rotating from its legacy lower-middle-market portfolio into private loans to increase recurring interest income and reduce volatility.

The firm pointed to improved performance since Main Street Capital assumed full advisory control in late 2020, driving average ROE and economic returns of 9.6% and 9.1%, respectively. Credit quality remains stable with limited non-accruals at 6.3% cost and 2.6% fair value.

Despite risks including interest rate sensitivity, lock-up expiration through January 2026, and some cyclical exposure, Clear Street views MSIF’s valuation, management strength, portfolio transition, and balance sheet flexibility as supportive of dividend stability. The company’s beta of 0.8 suggests lower volatility than the broader market, while its current ratio of 1.36 indicates healthy liquidity. InvestingPro analysis reveals additional insights, with multiple ProTips available to subscribers.

In other recent news, MSC Income Fund Inc has seen adjustments to its stock price targets by major financial firms. RBC Capital has lowered its price target for MSC Income Fund to $16.00 from a previous $18.00, while still maintaining an Outperform rating. This adjustment is based on a revised target multiple of 1.04 times the firm’s 2025 NAV per share estimate of $15.41, compared to the earlier multiple of 1.16 times. Meanwhile, Truist Securities has also reduced its price target for MSC Income Fund, setting it at $19.00, down from $20.00. Truist continues to hold a Buy rating on the stock, noting a decrease in the target price-to-NAV multiple to 1.2 times from 1.3 times. This change is attributed to expectations of a "modestly slower leverage ramp" for the company. These developments reflect recent analyst evaluations of MSC Income Fund’s financial outlook.

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