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Wednesday, Cantor Fitzgerald analyst Thomas Blakey increased the price target on CommVault Systems (NASDAQ: NASDAQ:CVLT) to $173.00, up from the previous $159.00, while maintaining a Neutral rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, the company, now valued at $7 billion, has seen its stock surge 96% over the past year, with analyst targets ranging from $144 to $200. Blakey highlighted the stock’s intraday volatility, with a significant reversal of over 15% from its early trading lows. The adjustment in the price target comes as CommVault Systems reported organic constant currency (cc) growth, with total Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) rising approximately 18% in the third fiscal quarter of 2025 (F3Q25), compared to 15% in the full year of 2024 (F24).
CommVault’s SaaS ARR saw a 75% growth, with the organic cc growth in the mid-to-upper 50% range, which Blakey noted was relatively consistent with the previous quarter’s performance. InvestingPro analysis reveals impressive fundamentals, including an industry-leading gross profit margin of 82.09% and an overall financial health rating of "GREAT." Despite the strong growth figures, the company adjusted its Free Cash Flow (FCF) guidance for fiscal year 2025 downwards due to a 1-2 percentage point EBIT headwind from Clumio and foreign exchange (F/X) impacts.
The company reiterated its commitment to the Rule of 40, which refers to a company’s combined growth rate and profit margin, stating it achieved a Rule of 42 in the third fiscal quarter of 2024 (F3Q24). Commvault is focusing on investing in top-line growth, which is expected to somewhat limit near-term (NT) leverage. However, this strategy is anticipated to help the company achieve its ARR and SaaS ARR targets earlier than projected. Blakey’s analysis suggests that these goals could be met as early as the third fiscal quarter of 2026 (F3Q26) for ARR and the second fiscal quarter of 2026 (F2Q26) for SaaS ARR. For deeper insights into CommVault’s valuation and growth metrics, including 15 additional ProTips and comprehensive financial analysis, visit InvestingPro.
In other recent news, CommVault Systems reported strong fiscal third quarter results, with adjusted earnings of $0.94 per share exceeding analyst estimates of $0.87 per share. Revenue for the quarter rose 21% year-over-year to $262.6 million, surpassing the consensus forecast of $245.93 million. KeyBanc analysts, led by Eric Heath, raised their price target on CommVault to $195.00 from $192.00, following the company’s impressive performance, especially in Annual Recurring Revenue (ARR) that beat expectations despite foreign exchange headwinds.
CommVault’s recent acquisition, Clumio, contributed significantly to the company’s ARR for the quarter, adding $24 million, which is twice the amount expected by consensus. The company’s fiscal year 2025 ARR guidance was also increased by approximately $8 million on an organic, constant currency basis. This positive outlook for CommVault is further reinforced by the company’s strong operational efficiency, as evidenced by an exceptional gross profit margin of 82%.
In terms of future expectations, Commvault has projected fourth quarter revenue to be between $260 million and $264 million, surpassing Wall Street’s expectation of $251.3 million. For the full fiscal year 2025, the company raised its revenue guidance to a range of $980 million to $985 million, which is above the consensus estimate of $955 million. These recent developments highlight the company’s continued growth and execution in the evolving cyber resilience landscape.
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