Constellation Brands stock holds Outperform rating at Evercore amid tariff uncertainty

Published 14/07/2025, 22:20
Constellation Brands stock holds Outperform rating at Evercore amid tariff uncertainty

Investing.com - Evercore ISI has maintained its Outperform rating and $210.00 price target on Constellation Brands (NYSE:STZ), currently trading at $164.58, despite growing concerns over potential tariffs on Mexican imports. According to InvestingPro data, the stock is trading near its 52-week low of $159.35, suggesting potential value opportunity based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis.

The firm cited uncertainty stemming from renewed tariff threats against Mexico, which could impact the alcoholic beverage company that imports significant products from the country. While unnamed administration sources have indicated the USMCA exemption will continue, there has been no direct confirmation from President Trump. The market’s concerns are reflected in the stock’s performance, with InvestingPro data showing a year-to-date decline of 21.19%.

Currently, Constellation Brands only faces tariffs on its aluminum cans, which at the 50% level has already been incorporated into the company’s guidance. The existing tariff exposure was previously benchmarked by Evercore in an April note when tariffs stood at 25%.

The primary concern for investors centers on the possibility that ending the USMCA exemption could hypothetically subject Constellation’s entire finished goods to a 30% tariff. Evercore calculates this worst-case scenario could potentially impact earnings by approximately $4.50 per share.

Evercore believes this severe outcome remains unlikely but acknowledges the magnitude of the potential impact is generating incremental concern among investors.

In other recent news, Constellation Brands reported first-quarter earnings per share of $3.22, which fell short of Wall Street expectations. Despite the weaker-than-expected results, the company maintained its fiscal year 2026 guidance, indicating confidence in its long-term outlook. UBS responded by raising its price target for Constellation Brands to $205, maintaining a Buy rating, while RBC Capital reiterated its Outperform rating with a price target of $233. Goldman Sachs also maintained a Buy rating with a $225 price target, noting the company’s valuation as attractive compared to industry peers. TD Cowen, however, kept a Hold rating and $180 price target, expressing concerns over beer margins and growth. Analysts highlighted challenges such as macroeconomic headwinds and shifting consumer behaviors but remained optimistic about future growth opportunities. Constellation Brands’ management expects near-term growth, particularly in its beer segment, despite current market challenges. These developments reflect varied analyst perspectives on the company’s performance and future prospects.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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