DA Davidson cuts Home Depot target to $450, maintains Buy

Published 20/05/2025, 20:28
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On Tuesday, DA Davidson adjusted its outlook on Home Depot stock (NYSE:HD), reducing the price target to $450 from the previous $470, yet reaffirming a Buy rating on the company’s shares. The decision came after Home Depot’s recent earnings call, where the company discussed its pricing strategy, efforts to counteract tariffs, and recent sales trends. According to InvestingPro data, Home Depot maintains strong financial health with an overall score of "GOOD" and has demonstrated consistent profitability with $159.5 billion in revenue over the last twelve months.

Michael Baker from DA Davidson highlighted Home Depot’s two consecutive quarters of positive comparable store sales (comps), noting that April marked the second-best month in roughly two and a half years, despite challenges such as the shift in Easter timing. Baker’s analysis, referred to as "Bakes Takes," draws from insights shared during Home Depot’s earnings call. The company’s strong market position is reflected in its impressive dividend track record, having maintained payments for 39 consecutive years with a current yield of 2.43%. InvestingPro subscribers can access detailed analysis of Home Depot’s financial metrics and growth potential through comprehensive Pro Research Reports.

The report emphasizes that Home Depot has shown stable to improving results, maintaining a relatively steady stock price year-to-date amid ongoing high interest rates and sluggish home sales. According to Baker, these factors position Home Depot to potentially leverage benefits from an improved economic environment, although the timing of such an improvement remains uncertain.

DA Davidson’s revised price target of $450 is now based on a 26 times multiple of the firm’s estimated earnings per share (EPS) for Home Depot in 2026. Despite the reduction from the previous target, the firm’s stance on the stock remains optimistic, as indicated by the reiteration of the Buy rating.

In other recent news, Home Depot announced its Q1 2025 earnings, reporting a revenue of $39.9 billion, which surpassed the forecast of $39.25 billion. However, the company’s earnings per share (EPS) slightly missed expectations, coming in at $3.56 compared to the projected $3.59. Despite this minor EPS miss, the company’s revenue increase of 9.4% year-over-year indicates strong performance in key product categories. Home Depot continues to focus on supply chain diversification and innovation, which has positioned the company well in the competitive market. Additionally, Home Depot anticipates total sales growth of approximately 2.8% for the fiscal year, with a slight decline in diluted EPS by about 3%. Analyst firms have not indicated any recent upgrades or downgrades for Home Depot. The company’s executives remain confident in their strategic initiatives and are focused on maintaining strong inventory positions and operational efficiency.

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