DA Davidson holds J.M. Smucker stock at $120 target

Published 10/03/2025, 16:44

On Monday, DA Davidson maintained its Neutral rating on J.M. Smucker (NYSE: SJM) stock, with a steady price target of $120.00. Currently trading at $119.62 with a market capitalization of $12.7 billion, the stock has shown strong momentum with a 4.7% gain over the past week. According to InvestingPro analysis, the company appears slightly undervalued based on its Fair Value calculations. The firm’s analyst, Brian Holland, cited a clearer view of the company’s fiscal year 2026 outlook, indicating that it does not exceed the expected growth algorithm in its entirety. Following a period where J.M. Smucker’s shares rebounded from multi-year lows, the analyst believes that the current risk-reward profile is reasonably balanced.

In the analysis, the firm acknowledged J.M. Smucker’s efforts to rectify the underperformance of Hostess Brands (NASDAQ:TWNK), which it acquired. Despite these efforts, the analyst noted a long-standing skepticism regarding the acquisition, suggesting that the challenges may be rooted more in the acquisition’s rationale than in the execution of its integration.

The report also pointed out that the coffee segment is increasingly becoming a concern for J.M. Smucker. The analyst highlighted that coffee poses a growing headwind, and overall food demand remains soft. This softness in demand is expected to have a negative effect on both sales and profitability for the company.

J.M. Smucker has been working to address these issues, but the analyst’s comments reflect a cautious outlook on the effectiveness of the company’s strategies in the near term. The maintained price target suggests that DA Davidson does not anticipate significant stock movement for J.M. Smucker in the immediate future.

Investors may consider these insights as they assess J.M. Smucker’s stock performance and the company’s potential to navigate the identified challenges in its various business segments. Despite current challenges, InvestingPro data shows the company maintains a "GOOD" overall Financial Health Score, and analysts expect a return to profitability this year. For deeper insights into SJM’s financial health and growth prospects, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively to InvestingPro subscribers.

In other recent news, J.M. Smucker’s third-quarter fiscal year 2025 earnings report revealed mixed results. The company reported adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.61, which exceeded expectations and represented a 5% year-over-year increase. However, revenues fell short, with a reported $2.186 billion, missing consensus estimates by 1.8%. The revenue shortfall was attributed to supply chain disruptions in the Pet Food segment and a decrease in Hostess brand sales. As a result, J.M. Smucker revised its fiscal year 2025 revenue guidance downward, though it increased its EPS forecast by $0.10.

Analysts have responded with varied assessments. DA Davidson maintained a Neutral rating with a $122 price target, while Stifel kept a Hold rating with a $120 target, citing improved gross margins and reduced expenses as positive factors. Bernstein also maintained a Market Perform rating with a $104 target, noting a slight decrease in sales growth but acknowledging resolved supply issues in the Pet Food segment. Jefferies adjusted its price target to $111, maintaining a Hold rating, while CFRA reduced its target to $126, also maintaining a Hold rating, due to concerns over high leverage and Hostess brand challenges.

Despite these challenges, J.M. Smucker remains committed to its long-term growth strategy, with specific focus on its strategic brand sales and coffee segment for future growth. Investors are closely monitoring the company’s efforts to navigate these issues and the potential impact on its financial performance.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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