DA Davidson maintains Azek stock Neutral with $52 target

Published 24/03/2025, 15:58
DA Davidson maintains Azek stock Neutral with $52 target

On Monday, DA Davidson reaffirmed its Neutral rating and $52.00 price target for Azek Co. (NYSE: AZEK), a company currently valued at $6.72 billion with a P/E ratio of 46.6x, following the announcement on Sunday that James Hardie (NYSE:JHX) would acquire AZEK in a cash and stock transaction. According to InvestingPro data, AZEK has maintained profitability over the last twelve months, though it trades at relatively high valuation multiples. The deal values AZEK shares at $56.88 each, based on last Friday’s closing prices. However, with James Hardie Industries shares (ASX: JHX) falling over 12% on the Australian Securities Exchange, the actual value per AZEK share would be between $53 and $54 at current prices.

The transaction between James Hardie and AZEK is structured to provide AZEK shareholders with a mix of cash and stock. This arrangement is expected to allow them to participate in the potential growth and synergies from the combined operations of the two companies. InvestingPro analysis shows AZEK operates with moderate debt levels and maintains strong liquidity, with a current ratio of 2.56x, suggesting a solid financial position heading into this merger. The definitive agreement has set the stage for a union that aims to leverage both companies’ strengths in the materials sector.

DA Davidson’s analyst noted that the $56.88 per share valuation is a fair assessment of AZEK’s worth. The stock component of the deal is particularly noteworthy, as it offers AZEK shareholders a chance to benefit from the anticipated synergies and the compelling narrative of material conversion that the merger is expected to bring about.

The market reaction to the news has been evident in the stock performance of James Hardie Industries, with a significant drop in its share price on the ASX. This decline has consequently affected the total consideration that AZEK shareholders are expected to receive.

Despite the fluctuations in share prices following the merger announcement, DA Davidson’s stance on AZEK remains unchanged. The firm’s analyst views the proposed deal as balanced, providing a reasonable exit price for AZEK shareholders while also giving them the opportunity to invest in the growth potential of the new entity formed by the acquisition. With an overall Financial Health score of "GOOD" according to InvestingPro, which offers comprehensive analysis of 1,400+ stocks through its Pro Research Reports, AZEK appears well-positioned for this strategic move.

In other recent news, Azek Co. has been a focal point of investor discussions following its acquisition agreement with James Hardie Industries. The deal, valued at approximately $8.75 billion, involves a combination of cash and stock, offering Azek shareholders $56.88 per share. This acquisition represents a premium over Azek’s recent trading prices, highlighting its significance for shareholders. Analysts from various firms have weighed in on the development, with Benchmark maintaining a Buy rating and setting a price target of $57, while Truist Securities also reaffirmed a Buy rating with a higher target of $61. BMO Capital Markets raised its price target for Azek to $57, expressing confidence in the smooth completion of the transaction without regulatory challenges. The acquisition is expected to create a robust presence in the building materials market by combining Azek’s outdoor living products with James Hardie’s fiber cement siding. Despite some fluctuations in James Hardie’s stock price following the announcement, the merger is seen as a strategic move to enhance market position and shareholder value.

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