Deutsche Bank cuts Alfen stock to Sell, slashes price target

Published 19/05/2025, 09:18
Deutsche Bank cuts Alfen stock to Sell, slashes price target

On Monday, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn) analysts downgraded Alfen (ALFEN:NA) (OTC:ALFNF) stock from Hold to Sell, significantly reducing the price target to EUR8.00 from the previous EUR12.00. The downgrade follows the company’s recent revision of its financial outlook for the current year, which was announced alongside its first-quarter results last week.

Alfen, known for its energy solutions including substations and electric vehicle charging equipment, has faced headwinds due to grid operators scaling back their investment plans. This has led to a projected decline in demand for the company’s substations, contributing to a negative growth rate for this segment in the current year. Additionally, Alfen is experiencing increased competition in the electric vehicle charging market, which is expected to impact profitability adversely.

Despite these challenges, Alfen’s management has maintained its financial guidance for 2027, anticipating a recovery in demand for both grid and charging solutions and projecting a low-double-digit margin. However, Deutsche Bank analysts have expressed skepticism regarding the company’s near-term growth prospects. They acknowledge the broader energy transition trend but anticipate that Alfen will struggle to capitalize on demand growth in the immediate two-year period.

In their commentary, Deutsche Bank analysts highlighted the reasons for their pessimistic view: "After initiating FY25 guidance three months ago, the company cut its outlook for this year with its Q1 release last week. This revision is primarily attributed to the grid operators’ reduced investment plans, leading to decreased demand for substations and a negative growth rate projected for that segment this year. Intensifying competition in the charging segment is expected to erode profitability."

The analysts concluded, "That said, management reiterated FY27 guidance for a low-double-digit margin, anticipating a rebound in grid and charging demand. We are less optimistic, as, despite acknowledging the ongoing energy transition, we foresee limited near-term demand growth that Alfen can readily capitalize on within the next two years." This stance by Deutsche Bank reflects a cautious approach to Alfen’s stock amid current market conditions and industry challenges.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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