Emerson stock falls despite BofA Securities reiterating Buy rating

Published 07/08/2025, 15:22
Emerson stock falls despite BofA Securities reiterating Buy rating

Investing.com - Emerson (NYSE:EMR) shares dropped 8% on Thursday, underperforming the S&P 500 Index which gained 1%, despite BofA Securities maintaining its Buy rating and $165.00 price target on the stock.

BofA Securities attributed the stock’s decline to investor perception of "less upside" rather than concerns about weakening demand fundamentals. The firm noted that Emerson’s third-quarter fiscal 2025 orders grew 4% year-over-year, maintaining the previous quarter’s growth rate despite facing a 400 basis point tougher comparison. This growth comes as the company maintains impressive gross profit margins of 52.7% and generates annual revenue of $17.8 billion. InvestingPro data reveals 15+ additional key insights about Emerson’s financial health and market position.

Emerson narrowed its fiscal 2025 adjusted earnings per share guidance to approximately $6.00, compared to the previous range of $5.90-$6.05, effectively lowering the high end of its forecast. The company also reduced its fiscal 2025 pricing guidance by 50 basis points to approximately 2.5%, though this implies roughly 4% pricing in the fourth quarter with benefits extending into fiscal 2026. Notably, InvestingPro reports that 5 analysts have recently revised their earnings expectations downward for the upcoming period.

The Test & Measurement segment, which had been an area of investor concern, showed strong performance with orders rising 16% year-over-year. Management guided for high-teens sales growth in this segment for the fourth quarter of fiscal 2025.

BofA Securities highlighted Emerson’s strong position in U.S. power generation, noting its Ovation control systems manage approximately 50% of U.S. electricity generation, with management expecting Ovation orders to increase 20% year-over-year in fiscal 2025.

In other recent news, Emerson Electric Company reported its third-quarter 2025 earnings, exceeding earnings per share (EPS) expectations but falling short on revenue. The company achieved an EPS of $1.52, slightly above the forecast of $1.51, while revenue reached 4.55 billion dollars, which was below the anticipated 4.61 billion dollars. Despite this earnings performance, the revenue miss raised concerns among investors. Additionally, Barclays (LON:BARC) upgraded Emerson’s stock rating from Underweight to Equalweight, citing a more reasonable valuation level following an 8% decline in the stock price relative to the S&P since the earnings season began. The investment firm also adjusted its price target for Emerson from $125.00 to $127.00. These developments reflect the mixed signals in the market regarding Emerson’s financial performance and valuation.

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