Evercore ISI cuts Ambev stock price target to $4.00, keeps Outperform

Published 08/05/2025, 21:52
Evercore ISI cuts Ambev stock price target to $4.00, keeps Outperform

On Thursday, Evercore ISI adjusted its price target for Ambev S.A. (NYSE:ABEV) shares, reducing it from $5.00 to $4.00, while maintaining an Outperform rating. The decision followed Ambev’s release of first-quarter 2025 financial results, which demonstrated strong performance across several key metrics. According to InvestingPro data, Ambev, currently trading at $2.53 with a market cap of $39.85B, appears undervalued based on its Fair Value analysis.

The company reported increased volumes, normalized EBITDA of $4.32B, and normalized profit, all surpassing the consensus compiled by the company. The growth in volume was partly attributed to favorable weather conditions and the impact of Carnival (NYSE:CCL) festivities, with Brazil Beer volumes showing a 0.7% rise in the first quarter of 2025, a notable achievement in a challenging consumer market. The company’s impressive 12.18% revenue growth and YTD return of 36.42% reflect its strong market position.

Despite the positive outcome, management at Ambev highlighted concerns about the upcoming financial quarters, anticipating heightened foreign exchange and commodity pressures. These pressures are expected to intensify from the second quarter onward throughout the remainder of the year. For deeper insights into Ambev’s financial health, which InvestingPro rates as GREAT with a score of 3.18, subscribers can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively on the platform.

Nevertheless, Ambev’s management remains confident in their strategy, emphasizing their focus on revenue management and productivity initiatives. They also cited the strength of their complete product portfolio and digital ecosystem as key factors that will contribute to the company’s ability to achieve margin expansion in line with their guidance for the year.

The maintained Outperform rating by Evercore ISI indicates a belief in Ambev’s potential for above-average returns, despite the lowered price target reflecting the anticipated market challenges ahead.

In other recent news, Ambev S.A. has filed its annual report on Form 20-F for the year ending December 31, 2024, with the U.S. Securities and Exchange Commission. This filing provides a detailed overview of the company’s financial performance, including audited financial statements and management’s discussion on the company’s financial condition and operational results. The report is available to the public on both the SEC’s website and Ambev’s investor relations page. In a move to maintain transparency, Ambev has offered ADR holders the option to request a hard copy of the complete audited financial statements at no charge. This initiative ensures that all investors have equal access to the company’s financial information. These recent developments highlight Ambev’s commitment to providing comprehensive financial disclosures to its stakeholders.

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