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Investing.com - UBS downgraded Fresnillo Plc. (LSE:LON:FRES) (OTC:FNLPF) from Buy to Neutral on Thursday, setting a price target of GBP15.00 as the mining company’s shares have surged approximately 170% year-to-date, with InvestingPro data showing the stock trading near its 52-week high of $20.85.
The downgrade follows a significant re-rating of Fresnillo’s 12-month forward consensus EV/EBITDA multiple, which has risen from around 3.5x in January 2025 to approximately 7.5x currently, pushing the valuation above its 5-year average of 6.1x and approaching its 10-year average of 8x. Current InvestingPro data shows the stock trading at a P/E ratio of 103.8x and an EV/EBITDA of 10.65x, suggesting rich valuations.
UBS noted that Fresnillo is in the early stages of improving its operational track record after experiencing difficulties over the past 5-7 years, with the company’s recent share price gains reflecting increased investor confidence in its operational outlook and cash return visibility. According to InvestingPro, the company maintains a "GREAT" financial health score and has maintained dividend payments for 18 consecutive years.
The bank maintains a constructive outlook on gold and silver prices, which it expects will drive positive consensus revisions for the company, but believes the improved operating outlook and enhanced cash return visibility are now priced into the stock.
Fresnillo, which offers investors exposure to silver equity, has benefited from the positive outlook for precious metals, contributing to its more than 100% re-rating of 12-month forward consensus EV/EBITDA.
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