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Stifel downgraded GB Group Plc. (GBG:LN) from Buy to Hold on Tuesday, lowering its price target to GBP2.65 from GBP3.15 amid concerns about the company’s growth trajectory.
The rating change follows GB Group’s fiscal year 2025 performance, which aligned with its April trading update, showing 3% constant currency revenue growth and an adjusted EBIT margin of 23.7%. The company also demonstrated strong cash generation during the period.
Stifel cited the lack of "signs of a top-line acceleration" as a key factor in its downgrade decision. The firm specifically pointed to the absence of a "clear US inflection," noting that Americas Identity revenue remained flat despite strategic investments, leadership changes, and sales enablement efforts.
The research firm identified the US performance as "the key swing factor in the growth story" for GB Group. Following the trading update, Stifel maintained most of its estimates, adjusting only for foreign exchange impacts.
Stifel also trimmed its FY26 and FY27 Identity growth forecasts by 0.5 and 1 percentage points respectively, while lowering longer-term growth assumptions for the identity verification and fraud prevention company.
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