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On Friday, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James analyst Frank Louthan adjusted the price target for GDS Holdings (NASDAQ:GDS), a leading developer and operator of high-performance data centers in China. The new target is set at $53.00, a significant increase from the previous $25.00, while the Outperform rating on the stock remains unchanged. The stock has shown remarkable momentum, with InvestingPro data showing a 228.59% surge over the past six months and currently trading at $48.50.
Louthan’s revised price target is based on approximately 19.5 times the new estimates for the enterprise value to earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation, and amortization (EV/EBITDA) for the core GDS business, which equates to around $46 per share. Additionally, he adds $7 per share for GDS’s proportionate ownership in DayOne, a data center platform in which GDS has invested. According to InvestingPro data, GDS currently trades at an EV/EBITDA multiple of 26.19x, suggesting the stock may be trading above its Fair Value.
The analyst’s 2025 estimated EV/EBITDA reflects a discount compared to U.S. data centers, which trade at roughly 23.5 times. GDS is currently trading at approximately 16 times the same metric. Louthan notes that GDS is expected to trade at a lower multiple due to its geographic concentration in China.
Despite this, Louthan considers the multiple to be conservative, especially given the potential for growth at DayOne, which is likely to contribute positively to the company’s future performance. The Outperform rating indicates that Raymond James believes GDS Holdings will likely outperform the overall market or its industry peers over the next six to twelve months.
In his comments, Louthan explains the rationale behind the new price target, "We are raising our price target to $53 (from $25) [...] This is still a conservative multiple as the growth at DayOne stands to improve. We remain at Outperform." The positive outlook suggests confidence in the company’s valuation and growth prospects.
In other recent news, Gauzy Ltd. has announced a strategic collaboration with MABA Industrial to introduce its Smart-Vision® advanced driver assistance system (ADAS) to South Korea’s commercial vehicle market. This partnership aims to expand Gauzy’s presence in the Asia-Pacific region and generate new revenue streams for its Safety Tech division. The Smart-Vision® system, which replaces traditional mirrors with cameras and monitors, aligns with South Korea’s National Transport Safety Plan by enhancing visibility and reducing blind spots.
Meanwhile, GDS Holdings has been the subject of multiple analyst evaluations. Morgan Stanley (NYSE:MS) reiterated an Overweight rating with a $39 target, influenced by the anticipated impact of Alibaba (NYSE:BABA)’s upcoming earnings report on GDS Holdings. TD Cowen raised its price target for GDS Holdings to $39, citing the company’s third-quarter earnings of 2024 and expected positive fourth-quarter results. Jefferies also maintained a Buy rating on GDS Holdings, highlighting the company’s growth potential and strategy to secure 200 megawatts of new orders annually.
In addition, a recent U.S. policy shift on artificial intelligence could benefit GDS Holdings’ subsidiary, DayOne, by potentially easing restrictions on importing high-end GPUs. Morgan Stanley sees this development as a positive step for the company, maintaining an Overweight rating with a $30 target.
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