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Scotiabank (TSX:BNS) raised its price target on Gold Royalty Corp. (NYSE:GROY) to $2.50 from $2.25 on Friday, while maintaining a Sector Outperform rating on the stock. The price target adjustment follows Gold Royalty’s capital markets day where the company outlined its five-year growth strategy. The stock has shown remarkable momentum, currently trading at $2.28 with an 88% year-to-date return and near its 52-week high.
Gold Royalty reiterated its growth forecast, expecting attributable gold equivalent ounces to reach 23,000-28,000 ounces by 2029. With impressive revenue growth of ~100% and industry-leading gross margins of 96%, the company confirmed it remains on track to generate free cash flow in 2025, a key milestone for the royalty firm. InvestingPro analysis reveals 10+ additional key metrics and insights about GROY’s growth trajectory.
The company outlined its disciplined approach to mergers and acquisitions, identifying a "$50M transaction size sweet spot" while continuing to evaluate potential deals. Gold Royalty maintains sufficient balance sheet liquidity to pursue these future opportunities, according to Scotiabank.
Representatives from portfolio companies where Gold Royalty holds royalties, including GoldMining (NYSE:GLDG) Inc., Wallbridge Mining, Discovery (NASDAQ:WBD) Silver, and Agnico Eagle (NYSE:AEM) Mines, presented at the event, highlighting asset developments and upcoming catalysts supporting Gold Royalty’s growth objectives.
At current gold prices, Scotiabank notes Gold Royalty shares trade at a P/NAV5% of 0.63x and 11.0x 2026E P/CF, compared to mid-tier royalty peers at 1.17x and 20.4x, respectively, suggesting potential valuation upside.
In other recent news, Gold Royalty Corp reported its fourth-quarter 2024 financial results, revealing a wider-than-expected loss and lower revenue than analysts had forecasted. The company posted an earnings per share loss of $0.02, missing the projected loss of $0.0063, and revenue of $3.36 million fell short of the expected $4.99 million. Despite these setbacks, the company achieved a record year in terms of revenue growth and operating cash flows, with full-year revenue increasing by 146% to $12.8 million. Analysts at H.C. Wainwright reiterated a Buy rating for Gold Royalty, maintaining a price target of $5.75, highlighting the company’s strategic focus on assets in stable regions like Canada and the USA. Meanwhile, Raymond (NSE:RYMD) James maintained its Outperform rating, citing the company’s financial flexibility and potential growth through exploration. The firm has a price target of $2.75, reflecting confidence in Gold Royalty’s business model. The company’s portfolio of over 200 royalties mainly focuses on precious metals, with assets located in regions with low jurisdictional risk, providing a buffer against operating and capital cost risks.
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