Goldman Sachs cuts Brown Forman stock target to $38, keeps Sell rating

Published 06/03/2025, 07:02
Goldman Sachs cuts Brown Forman stock target to $38, keeps Sell rating

On Thursday, Goldman Sachs adjusted its stance on Brown Forman (NYSE:BFb) (NYSE:BF-B) shares by reducing the price target from $40.00 to $38.00, while sustaining a Sell rating on the company’s stock. The decision follows the release of Brown Forman’s fiscal third-quarter results, which surpassed the low expectations, particularly due to organic sales growth in emerging markets. Despite this, the firm highlighted ongoing challenges in the United States and developed international markets.

Brown Forman’s management confirmed their growth guidance for fiscal year 2025, indicating anticipated improved growth but no operational leverage at the midpoint. Goldman Sachs acknowledged the company’s fiscal third-quarter performance, which was better than anticipated, but expressed continued concerns over several factors affecting the business.

The firm pointed out that the key issues for Brown Forman include distributor inventory levels, the risk of tariffs, the future of whiskey sales, and various headwinds and tailwinds facing the broader spirits industry. These challenges are contributing to sustained caution from Goldman Sachs regarding the stock’s outlook.

In response to the current market conditions and Brown Forman’s recent performance, Goldman Sachs made slight adjustments to their earnings per share (EPS) estimates for fiscal years 2025 and 2026. The forecast for fiscal year 2025 was modestly increased, while the estimate for fiscal year 2026 was lowered to account for uncertainties related to tariff risks, the timing of distributor inventory restocking, and pressures on consumer spending.

The price target adjustment reflects a $2 decrease from the previous target, as Goldman Sachs maintains its Sell rating on Brown Forman stock. The firm’s analysis indicates a cautious approach to the stock due to the ongoing pressures on consumption and the need for increased promotional activities to counterbalance these challenges.

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