Goldman Sachs lifts Genius Sports stock target to $12.50, maintains buy

Published 05/03/2025, 11:58
Goldman Sachs lifts Genius Sports stock target to $12.50, maintains buy

On Wednesday, Goldman Sachs increased its price target for Genius Sports Ltd. (NYSE:GENI) shares, setting the new goal at $12.50, up from the previous $11.00, while sustaining a Buy rating on the stock. The stock, currently trading at $9.31, has shown strong momentum with a 26% gain over the past six months. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets range from $11 to $15, suggesting potential upside from current levels. The adjustment follows the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report for 2024, which, according to the research firm, met the provided guidance and expectations. This performance was primarily attributed to growth in business with existing customers, including price increases on contract renewals and renegotiations. InvestingPro analysis reveals impressive revenue growth of 23.7% in the last twelve months, with the company generating revenue of $510.9 million. Get access to 7 more exclusive InvestingPro Tips and comprehensive financial analysis through our Pro Research Report.

Genius Sports reported that, despite sports outcomes in October and December that favored customers and affected the hold/win margin of US sportsbooks, the company managed to align its fourth-quarter revenue and adjusted EBITDA with its forecasts. The firm also provided guidance for fiscal year 2025, projecting a 21% increase in revenue and an adjusted EBITDA of $125 million, both surpassing Wall Street expectations.

Furthermore, the company’s product BetVision has shown positive trends in adoption and engagement, with plans to expand into global sports, including soccer in the second quarter and basketball in the third quarter of 2025. Management’s commentary during the earnings call suggested that the fiscal year 2025 might see a broader set of product and platform offerings, enhancing the sports technology ecosystem of Genius Sports. The company maintains a strong financial position with a current ratio of 1.43, indicating healthy liquidity to support its expansion plans. This comes after a few years of concentrated effort on stabilizing the core Betting business segment.

Additionally, Genius Sports raised $144 million in a public offering during the first quarter of 2025. Management described this move as a reinforcement of the company’s existing balance sheet strength, which could also provide the flexibility for opportunistic mergers and acquisitions to potentially accelerate the company’s path to long-term financial targets. InvestingPro data shows the company holds more cash than debt, with minimal total debt of just $7.51 million, positioning it well for future growth initiatives.

Goldman Sachs’ decision to raise the price target reflects an updated outlook based on the earnings report and management’s forward-looking statements. The research firm’s analysts expect the positive momentum of Genius Sports to continue, as indicated by the company’s strategic growth initiatives and financial guidance for the upcoming year.

In other recent news, Genius Sports Ltd reported its Q4 2024 earnings, revealing a miss on earnings per share expectations with an EPS of -$0.12, compared to a forecast of $0.01. However, the company’s revenue for the quarter was $176 million, slightly surpassing the expected $175.72 million, marking a 38% year-on-year growth. The firm also achieved a significant improvement in adjusted EBITDA, which increased 2.5 times year-on-year to $32 million. For the full year, Genius Sports reported revenue of $511 million, a 24% increase from 2023, with a positive net cash flow of $82 million for the first time. Benchmark raised the price target for Genius Sports shares to $12, maintaining a Buy rating, citing the company’s strong financial performance and growth prospects. The firm projects over 20% revenue growth for 2025, along with a 46% increase in adjusted EBITDA and margin expansion. Genius Sports has also set ambitious goals for 2025 and beyond, anticipating sustained revenue growth of over 20%. The company’s strategic focus includes expanding its BetVision product and making strategic mergers and acquisitions, leveraging its strong balance sheet and $280 million in pro-forma cash.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.