Goldman Sachs maintains Buy on Dover stock with $199 target

Published 29/04/2025, 11:24
Goldman Sachs maintains Buy on Dover stock with $199 target

On Tuesday, Goldman Sachs reiterated its Buy rating on Dover Corp . (NYSE:DOV) shares, maintaining a $199.00 price target, which represents about 17% upside from the current price of $170.33. The firm’s analysis followed Dover’s first-quarter earnings, which revealed an adjusted segment EBIT 6% higher than Goldman Sachs had anticipated. The performance was attributed to stronger-than-expected results in Dover’s DPPS and DCEF segments, which helped to balance a shortfall in the DEP segment. According to InvestingPro data, Dover maintains strong financial health with a Fair Value suggesting the stock is fairly priced.

Dover’s organic orders showed a slight increase of 0.5% for the quarter, primarily dragged down by a 12.1% year-over-year decline in the DCST segment. In response to the current economic climate, Dover has revised its adjusted FY25 earnings per share (EPS) guidance to $9.20 to $9.40, down from the previous range of $9.30 to $9.50. The new forecast is based on an anticipated organic growth of 2% to 4%, a slight decrease from the former 3% to 5% projection. InvestingPro analysis reveals Dover has maintained dividend payments for 55 consecutive years, demonstrating remarkable financial stability despite market fluctuations. Get access to 7 more exclusive InvestingPro Tips and comprehensive financial metrics with an InvestingPro subscription.

The company is facing $215 million in annualized costs due to tariffs, with expectations that the impact will become more significant in the second half of the year. The Vehicle Services Group within the DEP segment is expected to be the most affected. Dover plans to counter these costs through a combination of price increases, sourcing strategy adjustments, market share pursuits, and supplier cost-sharing negotiations.

Despite these challenges, Goldman Sachs has slightly reduced its FY25, FY26, and FY27 EPS estimates for Dover by $0.05 per year. The firm believes that the adjusted growth guidance is a cautious but appropriate measure given the uncertain economic environment. Goldman Sachs’ continued confidence in Dover’s guidance range is reflected in the reaffirmed Buy rating and the 12-month price target of $199.00.

In other recent news, Dover Corporation reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, exceeding analysts’ expectations with an adjusted earnings per share (EPS) of $2.05, compared to the projected $1.99. Despite a slight revenue shortfall, with actual revenue at $1.87 billion versus the anticipated $1.88 billion, the company’s performance was bolstered by strong results in clean energy and data center cooling segments. Dover’s operational efficiency led to a 19% year-over-year increase in adjusted EPS and an adjusted EBITDA margin increase of 240 basis points, reaching 24%. The company maintained its full-year free cash flow guidance at 14-16% of revenue, despite a slight reduction in organic sales growth expectations due to tariff uncertainties. Analysts from Vertical Research and Bank of America inquired about tariff mitigation strategies during the earnings call, with Dover’s management emphasizing proactive pricing and supplier negotiations. CEO Richard J. Tobin highlighted the company’s resilience and strategic positioning, stating that Dover is better prepared to handle economic challenges and is optimistic about its Q2 2025 performance. These developments reflect Dover’s continued focus on strategic investments and operational efficiencies amid ongoing market challenges.

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