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On Tuesday, analysts at Goldman Sachs shifted their perspective on Cummins Inc . (NYSE:CMI), upgrading the stock from Neutral to Buy and increasing the price target to $431 from the previous $410. The revision in the stock’s outlook comes with an analysis of several key factors that are anticipated to influence the company’s profitability. According to InvestingPro data, Cummins currently trades at a P/E ratio of 15.7, suggesting an attractive valuation relative to its near-term earnings growth potential.
The upgrade was based on the expectation of structurally higher profitability in the Power Systems business, particularly due to a new pricing structure that extends beyond data centers. Additionally, Goldman Sachs noted that the risks associated with the Environmental Protection Agency’s 2027 regulations have been mitigated. Another positive sign for Cummins is the observation that U.S. truck demand expectations have been significantly lowered, while the inventory levels of used sleeper trucks have decreased by 30% year-over-year. With a market capitalization of $43.7 billion and a "GOOD" overall financial health score from InvestingPro, Cummins maintains its position as a prominent player in the Machinery industry.
Goldman Sachs analysts highlighted that Cummins is currently trading at 16 times their mid-cycle earnings per share (EPS) estimate of $20.50, which is based on the company’s past performance. They also pointed out that the stock could trade at 14 times the potential mid-cycle EPS if the improved margins in the Power Systems segment are maintained over the long term. The company has demonstrated strong shareholder returns, maintaining dividend payments for 55 consecutive years with a current yield of 2.29%.
The analysts acknowledged that their call might be considered premature, as they expect production to reach its lowest point between the fourth quarter of 2025 and the first quarter of 2026 due to high inventories of new vocational trucks. However, they believe the strong performance of Cummins’ Power Systems sector could significantly balance out the impact of lower truck production. The new price target of $431 reflects Goldman Sachs’ confidence in Cummins’ ability to navigate through the current market conditions and emerge with stronger profitability. Analyst targets for the stock range from $260 to $460, with additional valuable insights available in the comprehensive Pro Research Report on InvestingPro, which provides deep-dive analysis of Cummins’ financial health and growth prospects.
In other recent news, Cummins Inc. has announced a quarterly cash dividend of $1.82 per share, scheduled for payment on June 5, 2025, to shareholders on record as of May 23, 2025. This decision is part of Cummins’ financial strategy, providing direct benefits to its shareholders. Additionally, Cummins has completed a significant $2 billion public offering of senior notes, with proceeds intended for general corporate purposes, including addressing existing debt. In the realm of analyst updates, Citi has raised its price target for Cummins to $350 while maintaining a Buy rating, despite adjusting its earnings per share estimate for 2025 due to tariff impacts and changes in truck estimates. Meanwhile, BofA Securities increased its price target to $326, keeping a Neutral rating, following Cummins’ strong first-quarter EBITDA growth and notable margin expansion in its Engines segment. However, BofA Securities expressed surprise at Cummins’ decision to withdraw its financial guidance. Shareholders recently approved various proposals at Cummins’ annual meeting, including the election of eleven directors and executive compensation, although a proposal for an independent board chairman was not passed.
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