Goldman Sachs reiterates Buy rating on Aris Water Solutions stock ahead of Q2 earnings

Published 10/07/2025, 11:52
Goldman Sachs reiterates Buy rating on Aris Water Solutions stock ahead of Q2 earnings

Investing.com - Goldman Sachs has reiterated its Buy rating on Aris Water Solutions Inc (NYSE:ARIS) while adjusting its price target to $28.00 from $30.00 previously. The stock, currently trading at $23.53, has demonstrated strong performance with a 51.35% return over the past year, according to InvestingPro data.

The firm expects Aris to report second-quarter 2025 EBITDA of $54 million, slightly below its prior estimate of $55 million due to softer water sales volumes from modest activity shifts during the quarter. This projection remains in the upper half of the company’s guidance range of $50-55 million and slightly above the consensus estimate of $53 million. The company’s financial health is rated as GOOD by InvestingPro, with a strong current ratio of 1.87 and revenue growth of 12.03% over the last twelve months.

Goldman Sachs identified sequential drivers including planned maintenance that was delayed into the second quarter and lower skim oil contributions. The firm highlighted key focus areas for this earnings season including Permian activity trends, updates on alternative water use projects, and confirmation of free cash flow resilience. Based on InvestingPro Fair Value analysis, ARIS appears to be slightly undervalued at current levels, though it trades at a relatively high P/E ratio of 28.26.

Looking ahead, Goldman Sachs has slightly reduced its EBITDA estimates as Permian activity slows, but its projections remain above consensus for 2026 and beyond. The firm’s analysts continue to see potential upside from the company’s reservoir replenishment and mineral projects.

The price target reduction from $30 to $28 reflects a multiple adjustment from 9x to 8.75x on 2026 estimates, which Goldman Sachs attributes to "broader oil macro uncertainty" while maintaining its Buy rating on the stock.

In other recent news, Aris Mining Corporation reported a 13% increase in gold production for the first half of 2025, totaling 113,415 ounces. This growth is attributed to the commissioning of their expanded Segovia mill, which has increased the company’s production capacity. Additionally, Aris Mining agreed to sell its Juby Gold Project in Ontario to McFarlane Lake Mining Limited for $22 million. The deal includes both cash and shares, and is contingent upon McFarlane raising necessary funds and obtaining regulatory approvals. Meanwhile, Aris Water Solutions announced the election of three Class I Directors and the ratification of its independent auditor at its 2025 Annual Meeting of Stockholders. In another development, Citi analysts have reduced their price target for Aris Water Solutions to $26, citing potential slower growth in the Permian Basin due to declining commodity prices. Despite this, Aris Water Solutions is expected to adjust its capital expenditures to maintain cash flows. Lastly, Lennox International (NYSE:LII) Inc. has formed a joint venture with Ariston Group to introduce a new line of residential water heaters in North America, with operations set to begin in 2026.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

Latest comments

Risk Disclosure: Trading in financial instruments and/or cryptocurrencies involves high risks including the risk of losing some, or all, of your investment amount, and may not be suitable for all investors. Prices of cryptocurrencies are extremely volatile and may be affected by external factors such as financial, regulatory or political events. Trading on margin increases the financial risks.
Before deciding to trade in financial instrument or cryptocurrencies you should be fully informed of the risks and costs associated with trading the financial markets, carefully consider your investment objectives, level of experience, and risk appetite, and seek professional advice where needed.
Fusion Media would like to remind you that the data contained in this website is not necessarily real-time nor accurate. The data and prices on the website are not necessarily provided by any market or exchange, but may be provided by market makers, and so prices may not be accurate and may differ from the actual price at any given market, meaning prices are indicative and not appropriate for trading purposes. Fusion Media and any provider of the data contained in this website will not accept liability for any loss or damage as a result of your trading, or your reliance on the information contained within this website.
It is prohibited to use, store, reproduce, display, modify, transmit or distribute the data contained in this website without the explicit prior written permission of Fusion Media and/or the data provider. All intellectual property rights are reserved by the providers and/or the exchange providing the data contained in this website.
Fusion Media may be compensated by the advertisers that appear on the website, based on your interaction with the advertisements or advertisers
© 2007-2025 - Fusion Media Limited. All Rights Reserved.