Goldman Sachs sets Mosaic stock buy rating, $31 price target

Published 13/03/2025, 10:26
Goldman Sachs sets Mosaic stock buy rating, $31 price target

On Thursday, Goldman Sachs initiated coverage on Mosaic shares (NYSE:MOS), a leading producer of Phosphate and Potash, assigning a Buy rating and setting a price target of $31.00. The new coverage comes after the company experienced a period of operational challenges over the past two years, which led to a decline in investor confidence and a lower stock valuation. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades at $24.69, with analysts’ price targets ranging from $25 to $44, suggesting potential upside.

Mosaic, recognized as one of the world’s largest Phosphate and Potash producers, has seen its stock trade at the lower end of its historical valuation range following disruptions in its operations. Goldman Sachs sees this as an opportune moment for investors, citing potential for earnings and margin expansion as the company’s production returns to normalized levels. InvestingPro analysis indicates the stock is currently undervalued, despite trading at a high P/E ratio of 45.59x. Notably, the company has maintained dividend payments for 15 consecutive years, demonstrating financial stability through various market cycles.

The analysts at Goldman Sachs also highlighted the favorable supply-demand dynamics for Phosphate, anticipating that it will yield above-average industry margins for several years to come. Their coverage suggests that Mosaic’s stock could see further gains as investor trust is restored in the company’s operational capabilities. While current gross profit margins are weak at 13.59%, InvestingPro data shows net income is expected to grow this year. For deeper insights into Mosaic’s financial health and growth potential, investors can access the comprehensive Pro Research Report, available exclusively to InvestingPro subscribers.

According to Goldman Sachs, the upside is not only tied to Mosaic’s operational improvements but also to a potential re-rating of the company’s multiple as confidence in its ability to maintain consistent production levels is re-established. This could lead to an increased valuation of Mosaic’s stock in the eyes of the investment community.

The price target of $31.00 set by Goldman Sachs represents their expectation for Mosaic’s stock value in the future, based on the firm’s analysis of the company’s prospects and the industry’s market conditions.

In other recent news, Mosaic Company has experienced several key developments. Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities revised its outlook on Mosaic by lowering the price target from $29.00 to $28.00, maintaining a neutral stance following the company’s fourth-quarter earnings report. The report showed a 37% decline in adjusted earnings per share compared to the previous year, attributed in part to disruptions from hurricanes. Meanwhile, Barclays (LON:BARC) upgraded Mosaic’s stock rating from Underweight to Equalweight, setting a price target of $27.00, reflecting a reassessment of the company’s position after market changes.

BMO Capital Markets maintained an Outperform rating with a $44.00 price target, citing favorable potash and phosphate market conditions. Scotiabank (TSX:BNS) adjusted its price target for Mosaic to $31.00 from $34.00, while keeping a Sector Outperform rating, emphasizing the need for improvements in portfolio performance and free cash flow conversion. JPMorgan upgraded Mosaic’s stock rating to Overweight and increased the price target to $29.00, projecting a promising performance in the coming year with higher expected fertilizer prices. These recent developments indicate varied analyst perspectives on Mosaic’s potential and challenges.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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