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Investing.com - Goldman Sachs has upgraded Japan Exchange Group (TYO:8697) from Neutral to Buy and raised its price target to JPY2,050.00 from JPY1,540.00.
The upgrade comes as Japan Exchange Group stock has underperformed the TOPIX by 22 percentage points year-to-date, according to Goldman Sachs. The investment bank cited slower corporate earnings growth outlook and yen appreciation as reasons for the previous underperformance.
Goldman Sachs identified three key catalysts that could reverse this trend: collateral-related interest income offering earnings per share upside, new FX derivatives revenue stream, and the bottoming out of Japanese corporate earnings cuts.
The firm revised its FY25-27E earnings per share estimates upward by 16%-24%, driven by higher interest income and volumes, and introduced FY28E EPS at JPY96.4. Goldman Sachs now projects a 13% EPS compound annual growth rate for FY24-28E, compared to a 6% rate over the past decade.
The new price target implies a price-to-earnings ratio of 28X, up from the previous 25X, with Goldman Sachs noting that valuations have corrected to mid-cycle levels and the risk-reward balance now tilts toward the upside.
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