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Investing.com - Guggenheim has reiterated its Buy rating and $220.00 price target on CommVault Systems (NASDAQ:CVLT), citing expectations for upside in the company’s fiscal second quarter 2026 results. According to InvestingPro data, analysts maintain a strong buy consensus with price targets ranging from $176.80 to $230.00, suggesting potential upside from the current price of $172.05.
The firm anticipates CommVault will report cloud computing normalized annual recurring revenue (NNARR) of approximately $44 million, exceeding buy-side expectations in the low $40 million range. Guggenheim also projects total revenue growth of 18% on a constant currency basis for the quarter, despite Q2 being CommVault’s seasonally softest quarter for term subscriptions. The company has demonstrated strong execution with impressive 81.95% gross margins and robust revenue growth of 21.62% over the last twelve months.
Guggenheim believes CommVault could raise its fiscal year 2026 guidance slightly from the current 18% constant currency total annual recurring revenue growth and 17% total revenue growth, potentially by a percentage point. The firm expects CommVault to ultimately deliver 21% constant currency and 20% constant currency total revenue growth with over 20% free cash flow margin this year.
According to Guggenheim’s partner checks, data protection remains an IT spending priority, benefiting from multiple secular tailwinds including under-protected SaaS applications, cyber resilience, regulatory requirements, AI-driven data growth, and governance needs for AI implementation. InvestingPro analysis reveals the company’s solid financial health with a "GOOD" overall score and strong cash position, holding more cash than debt on its balance sheet. Get access to 10+ additional exclusive ProTips and comprehensive analysis with an InvestingPro subscription.
The firm sees CommVault’s SaaS offering approaching $400 million exiting fiscal year 2026 and growing 35%, positioning the company to outpace on-premise market growth and gain share in both SaaS applications and security markets, with shares currently trading at 5.4x EV/FY27E Total Revenue and 27x EV/FY27E Free Cash Flow. Based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis, the stock appears slightly overvalued at current levels, though its strong financial metrics and growth trajectory continue to attract investor interest.
In other recent news, Commvault Systems Inc. reported a strong financial performance for the first quarter of 2025. The company saw significant growth in both total annual recurring revenue (ARR) and subscription revenue. These positive earnings results highlight Commvault’s robust start to the fiscal year. Despite the solid financial performance, the stock experienced a decline in pre-market trading, which was influenced by broader market trends and specific investor concerns. There were no reports of mergers or acquisitions involving Commvault in this period. Additionally, no analyst upgrades or downgrades were noted in the recent developments. Investors are keenly observing these updates as they assess the company’s ongoing financial health and market position.
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