Home Depot stock holds $470 target on strong tariff tactics

Published 21/05/2025, 15:26
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On Wednesday, TD Cowen maintained a positive outlook on Home Depot (NYSE:HD) shares, reiterating a Buy rating and a $470.00 price target. According to InvestingPro data, analyst targets for Home Depot range from $297 to $484, with a strong consensus recommendation of 1.82 (Buy). The company, currently valued at $374 billion by market cap, appears overvalued based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis. The endorsement comes amid Home Depot’s effective handling of tariff impacts without resorting to widespread price hikes. The company’s management expressed confidence, noting that despite challenges from weather and foreign exchange, performance trends remained consistent, and the first quarter closed with strong momentum. This positions Home Depot for an improved second quarter.

Home Depot’s management has taken a notably bullish stance, anticipating a solid second quarter based on the company’s current trajectory. The retailer’s ability to navigate through external pressures without increasing prices broadly or sacrificing gross margins has been highlighted as a key strength. TD Cowen has adjusted its first-half comparable sales estimates upwards, believing that Home Depot is on track to meet its full-year guidance for comparable store sales.

The company’s strategies for mitigating the impact of tariffs have been effective, allowing it to maintain gross margins. This aspect of Home Depot’s operational approach has been particularly emphasized by the analysts at TD Cowen. The retailer’s management team has successfully implemented measures that offset the potential negative effects of tariffs on their product pricing and overall profitability.

Despite uncertainties looming in the second half of the year, Home Depot’s performance in the first quarter has provided a solid foundation for continued success. The company’s resilience in the face of tariffs and its ability to sustain growth without compromising on price or margins are seen as positive indicators for its financial outlook. InvestingPro data reveals the company maintains a healthy gross profit margin of 33.34% and has demonstrated consistent dividend payments for 39 consecutive years, with a current yield of 2.44%.

In summary, TD Cowen’s analysis suggests that Home Depot is well-positioned to achieve its fiscal year comparable sales targets. The company’s adept handling of tariffs and its strong start to the year contribute to the firm’s confidence in Home Depot’s stock, as reflected in the reiterated Buy rating and $470.00 price target. InvestingPro analysis shows the company maintains a "GOOD" financial health score, with particularly strong marks in profitability. Discover more insights about Home Depot and 1,400+ other stocks through InvestingPro’s comprehensive research reports, which transform complex financial data into actionable intelligence.

In other recent news, Home Depot’s first-quarter earnings report has been a focal point for several analyst firms. Baird adjusted its price target for Home Depot to $425, maintaining an Outperform rating, citing strong U.S. comparable store sales in April and continued momentum into May. RBC Capital Markets held its Sector Perform rating with a steady price target of $399, noting a slight increase in expected comparable sales growth for the second quarter. Bernstein raised its price target to $398, maintaining a Market Perform rating, and highlighted challenges such as inconsistent weather and a slump in large-scale projects affecting sales.

Mizuho (NYSE:MFG) Securities reduced its price target to $435 but kept an Outperform rating, acknowledging a positive surprise in U.S. comparable sales. KeyBanc Capital Markets maintained a Sector Weight rating, observing mixed first-quarter results with a slight decline in comparable store sales. Despite these mixed results, Home Depot confirmed its fiscal year 2025 guidance, which includes expectations for organic sales growth and adjustments in response to current market conditions.

Analysts have expressed concerns over Home Depot’s pricing strategies and the potential impact of tariffs, although the company has shown resilience through sourcing flexibility. Looking ahead, firms like Bernstein and KeyBanc have noted potential challenges such as high mortgage rates and limited consumer spending power, which could affect demand for home improvement. Overall, Home Depot’s strategic positioning and guidance reaffirmation have been met with a range of analyst perspectives, reflecting both optimism and caution in the current economic environment.

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