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Wednesday saw Mphasis Ltd. (MPHL:IN) stock rating upgraded from Add to Buy by analysts at ICICI Securities, with a slight increase in the price target to INR 3,400 from INR 3,360.
The firm's analysts cite the company's strong positioning in the Banking and Financial Services (BFS) sector, which accounts for approximately 50% of its revenue, as a key factor for the optimistic outlook.
The upgrade reflects ICICI Securities' expectation of volume growth in Mphasis' mortgage business, which represents about 6-7% of its revenues. This anticipated growth is linked to potential interest rate cuts in the financial year 2026. Management's recent statements have pointed to emerging opportunities in BFS and an improving pipeline for Total (EPA:TTEF) Contract Value (TCV) and its conversion to revenue.
Mphasis is also expected to benefit from the backlog of past TCV to revenue conversion, which is predicted to contribute to revenue growth in the financial years 2025 and 2026. ICICI Securities has based the new price target on a valuation multiple of 30 times the one-year forward earnings estimate of INR 113 per share.
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