Jefferies cuts Builders FirstSource price target to $180

Published 21/02/2025, 19:32
Jefferies cuts Builders FirstSource price target to $180

On Friday, Jefferies analyst Philip Ng adjusted the price target on Builders FirstSource shares, listed on the New York Stock Exchange (NYSE:BLDR), reducing it from $200.00 to $180.00. Despite this change, the firm maintains a Buy rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, the stock currently trades at $134.84, with analysts’ targets ranging from $157 to $230, suggesting potential upside. The company, a prominent player in the Building Products industry with a market cap of $15.5 billion, appears undervalued based on InvestingPro’s Fair Value analysis.

The adjustment follows Builders FirstSource’s robust performance in the fourth quarter of 2024, which prompted Jefferies to revise their price target and update earnings estimates for the coming years. The company’s strong quarterly results were characterized by a favorable payer mix and same-store revenue growth, leading to an adjusted EBITDA of $65.2 million. This figure surpassed consensus estimates by 26%. InvestingPro data shows the company maintains strong financial health with a current ratio of 1.77, indicating liquid assets exceed short-term obligations. Get access to 10+ additional exclusive ProTips and comprehensive financial metrics with InvestingPro.

Builders FirstSource also provided its initial guidance for the year 2025, suggesting an adjusted EBITDA growth at the midpoint of 0.5% year-over-year, which is 1% above consensus estimates. Jefferies views the 2025 guidance as achievable and suggests that there may be potential for upside.

Despite the positive outlook on Builders FirstSource’s performance and the potential for growth, Jefferies remains Neutral on MD. The firm’s stance is based on the company’s recent financial indicators and market guidance, indicating a cautious but optimistic perspective on the stock’s future.

In other recent news, Builders FirstSource reported its fourth-quarter earnings, surpassing analyst expectations with adjusted earnings per share of $2.31, compared to the forecasted $2.17. However, the company’s revenue fell short, reaching $3.82 billion against the anticipated $3.88 billion. The firm’s net sales experienced an 8.0% year-over-year decline, attributed to lower core organic sales and commodity deflation. Despite these challenges, Builders FirstSource provided guidance for fiscal year 2025, projecting revenue between $16.5 billion and $17.5 billion, aligning with the current analyst consensus of $17.26 billion.

Additionally, Builders FirstSource’s recent strategic moves include mergers and acquisitions, contributing approximately $420 million in annual revenue for fiscal year 2024. Analyst firms have adjusted their price targets for the company, with BMO Capital Markets lowering its target to $168, Benchmark adjusting to $170, and Truist Securities setting a target of $180. While BMO Capital Markets maintained a Market Perform rating, both Benchmark and Truist Securities kept a Buy rating on the stock.

The adjustments in price targets reflect a cautious stance due to the uncertain housing market and potential shifts in consumer preferences towards simpler housing options. Analysts have noted Builders FirstSource’s robust balance sheet and strong management team as positive factors amidst these challenges. The company’s gross margin remains strong, particularly in the multifamily segment, which is expected to improve mid-year, according to Truist Securities.

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