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On Monday, CSPC Pharmaceutical (TADAWUL:2070) Group Ltd. (1093:HK) (OTC:CHJTF) received a downgrade in its stock rating from Jefferies, moving from Hold to Underperform. The firm also adjusted the price target for CSPC Pharmaceutical shares to HK$5.00, up from the previous HK$4.60.
The downgrade comes despite the company’s stock price seeing a significant year-to-date increase of 70%, which has been fueled by high expectations for business development (BD) and a forecasted earnings inflection point. Jefferies analysts have expressed concerns that the current stock price may have already accounted for the potential gains from these factors. They also highlighted the challenges CSPC Pharmaceutical may face in executing three major deals, each valued at around US$5 billion, noting the complexity and uncertainty involved in such large-scale transactions.
Additionally, the firm pointed out that approximately 70% of CSPC Pharmaceutical’s profits are under pressure due to pricing issues. The company’s NBP product is entering a downcycle, which is exacerbated by stricter budget controls in the market. This situation could potentially lead to disappointing performance, contrary to what the elevated stock price suggests.
The updated price target of HK$5.00 represents a slight increase from the previous target but comes with a more cautious outlook on the stock’s future performance. Jefferies’ analysis indicates skepticism about the company’s ability to maintain its current growth trajectory in light of the identified challenges.
Investors are now faced with a more conservative assessment of CSPC Pharmaceutical’s market position and its capacity to deliver on the high expectations that have driven its share price up this year. The new rating and price target reflect Jefferies’ revised expectations for the pharmaceutical company’s financial health and market performance.
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