Jefferies cuts Kraft Heinz price target to $30, retains hold rating

Published 29/01/2025, 17:46
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The revised price target of $30.00 represents a recalibration of expectations for Kraft Heinz (NASDAQ:KHC)’s stock value in light of the recent performance data. Despite challenges, the company maintains a notable 5.41% dividend yield, and InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued. The company’s strategic choices during a critical sales period have led to a more cautious outlook from Jefferies, as reflected in the updated price target and continued Hold rating. Investors can access comprehensive analysis and additional insights through InvestingPro’s detailed research report, available for over 1,400 US stocks.

Dickerson noted that Kraft Heinz’s tracked channel data indicated an acceleration in volume declines and share losses during the last quarter, particularly within the large-cap food segment. The $36 billion market cap company has seen revenue decline by -3.8% over the last twelve months. Iconic Kraft Heinz brands such as Lunchables, Maxwell House, Heinz, and Classico were among those experiencing double-digit percentage year-over-year volume drops. Additionally, several other brands witnessed mid to high single-digit percentage declines.

The analyst expressed confusion over Kraft Heinz’s strategy to reduce promotional activities during what is typically the busiest time of the year for at-home dining. The implication was that this decision might have been made to protect profitability, although this was not made explicit by the management.

Dickerson’s commentary highlighted the widespread challenges faced by Kraft Heinz, with significant volume pressures across its portfolio of brands. Despite these challenges, the analyst’s stance remained a Hold, suggesting a wait-and-see approach to the stock.

The revised price target of $30.00 represents a recalibration of expectations for Kraft Heinz’s stock value in light of the recent performance data. Despite challenges, the company maintains a notable 5.41% dividend yield, and InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued. The company’s strategic choices during a critical sales period have led to a more cautious outlook from Jefferies, as reflected in the updated price target and continued Hold rating. Investors can access comprehensive analysis and additional insights through InvestingPro’s detailed research report, available for over 1,400 US stocks.

In other recent news, Kraft Heinz has faced several challenges. The company’s 2024 earnings per share (EPS) forecast was adjusted downward, following a 2.8% drop in net sales to $6.38 billion. Citi analyst Thomas Palmer revised the price target for Kraft Heinz to $34 from the previous $38, citing concerns about foreign exchange pressures and competitive challenges. Despite these issues, Citi maintains a Buy rating on the stock.

Analysts from Piper Sandler, Deutsche Bank (ETR:DBKGn), and Goldman Sachs have also adjusted their views on Kraft Heinz. Piper Sandler downgraded the stock from Overweight to Neutral, while Deutsche Bank and Goldman Sachs lowered their price targets to $35 and $32, respectively. TD Cowen maintained a Hold rating, keeping its price target steady at $36.

In board developments, Kraft Heinz appointed Debby Soo, CEO of OpenTable, Inc., to its Board of Directors. The company returned over $1.5 billion to shareholders through dividends and share repurchases and extended the maturity date of its $4.0 billion revolving credit facility to July 8, 2029. Rashida La Lande, Executive Vice President and Chief Legal and Corporate Affairs Officer, announced her immediate departure from Kraft Heinz. These are among the recent developments at Kraft Heinz.

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