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On Wednesday, Jefferies analyst Brent Thill adjusted the price target for Okta, Inc. (NASDAQ:OKTA), a leading identity management firm, to $130 from the previous $135, while keeping a Hold rating on the stock. According to InvestingPro data, Okta’s stock currently trades at $125.50, with multiple indicators suggesting premium valuation multiples across earnings, EBITDA, and revenue metrics. Thill’s assessment followed Okta’s latest financial report, which showed a 14% year-over-year growth in calculated remaining performance obligations (cRPO), slightly above the company’s guided midpoint. However, this figure fell short of the higher expectations of approximately 15% year-over-year growth anticipated by investors.
Despite missing these heightened expectations, Okta’s fiscal year 2026 revenue guidance remains unchanged at 9-10% year-over-year growth, following a robust 15.33% growth in the last twelve months. This forecast now includes additional caution due to macroeconomic uncertainties, which Thill noted continues to reflect a prudent approach by the company. The second quarter cRPO guidance from Okta unexpectedly suggests what would be the first quarter-over-quarter decline in the company’s history since going public.
In contrast to the cRPO figures, Okta reported better-than-expected profitability, maintaining impressive gross profit margins of 76.32%. The firm also increased its fiscal year 2026 free cash flow (FCF) guidance by one percentage point, now aiming for approximately 27%. This positive adjustment in FCF outlook indicates a stronger than anticipated performance in terms of profitability.
Okta’s recent financial outcomes and forward-looking projections come at a time when businesses are navigating an environment of economic uncertainty. The company’s cautious yet steady approach reflects its efforts to balance growth ambitions with the realities of the current market landscape. InvestingPro analysis reveals a "GOOD" overall financial health score, with 13 additional ProTips available to subscribers, offering deeper insights into Okta’s financial position and growth prospects.
In other recent news, Okta, Inc. reported its first-quarter financial results for fiscal year 2026, surpassing earnings and revenue forecasts. The company achieved earnings per share (EPS) of $0.86, exceeding the projected $0.77, and reported revenue of $688 million, which was higher than the anticipated $680.1 million. Despite these positive outcomes, Okta’s stock experienced a decline in aftermarket trading, reflecting investor concerns over future guidance amidst macroeconomic uncertainties. Stifel analysts responded by raising their price target for Okta shares to $130 from $120, maintaining a Buy rating, while Citizens JMP reiterated a Market Perform rating. Analysts noted that the current Remaining Performance Obligations (cRPO) growth of 14% year-over-year was below the anticipated 15%-16% whisper numbers. Okta’s management remains optimistic about future profitability, although they have adopted a cautious approach due to potential macroeconomic challenges. The company continues to focus on product innovation, including AI and identity security solutions, to maintain its market position.
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