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On Tuesday, Jefferies made adjustments to Shenzhou International Group Holdings Ltd’s financial outlook, reducing the price target on the company’s stock to HK$50.00 from the previous HK$56.00. Despite the change in the price target, the firm maintained a Hold rating on the stock.
Shenzhou International, listed on the Hong Kong Stock Exchange under ticker 2313:HK and also trading over-the-counter as SHZHY, is expected to encounter challenges that could impact its financial performance. Jefferies analysts pointed out that the company may face increased demand risk and intensified competition in the market. These factors are anticipated to influence Shenzhou’s pricing strategies and product mix, particularly in casual wear.
The firm’s analysts also highlighted Shenzhou International’s significant reliance on its costly China-based factories, which may lead the company to reduce prices or alter its product mix to maintain capacity utilization. This strategy is believed to potentially result in a further decline in the company’s fully loaded Gross Profit Margin (GPM) at full utilization.
Jefferies has expressed a cautious stance regarding Shenzhou’s net profit for the year 2025, projecting it to be 29% lower than the market consensus. The revised price target reflects an 11% decrease and is intended to account for both cyclical and structural risks to the company’s Free Cash Flow (FCF). The firm’s analysis suggests that these risks are significant enough to warrant a reevaluation of Shenzhou International’s stock value.
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