Jefferies cuts Trex stock price target to $71 from $81, maintains hold

Published 25/02/2025, 17:14
Jefferies cuts Trex stock price target to $71 from $81, maintains hold

On Tuesday, Jefferies analyst Philip Ng adjusted the price target for Trex Company, Inc. (NYSE:TREX), a leading manufacturer of wood-alternative decking and railing products. The new price target is set at $71.00, decreased from the previous $81.00, while the Hold rating on the company’s shares remains unchanged. According to InvestingPro data, the stock has fallen nearly 8% in the past week and is currently trading at a P/E ratio of 28.1x, suggesting a premium valuation relative to near-term earnings growth.

Trex recently reported strong financial results, surpassing expectations in both revenue and margins. The company’s sell-out trends showed notable acceleration in the fourth quarter. Despite a flat repair and remodel (R&R) market, Trex is projecting a 5-7% sales growth for 2025.

The management team at Trex has expressed confidence in the upcoming fiscal year, anticipating a smoother operation by implementing more conservative channel infill management. Additionally, they expect the movement in distribution to stabilize. The company’s leadership is particularly optimistic about the potential growth stemming from new products and anticipated gains in the railing market segment.

The company’s strategy and outlook for 2025 suggest a less turbulent period ahead, as they aim to navigate market conditions with a focus on efficiency and product innovation. Trex’s emphasis on new product development and market share expansion in the railing category are central to its growth plans.

In other recent news, Trex Company, Inc. reported a robust performance in its Q4 2024 earnings, with earnings per share (EPS) reaching $0.09, significantly surpassing the forecast of $0.04. The company’s revenue for the quarter was $168 million, exceeding expectations by $8.71 million, and for the full year, Trex achieved net sales of $1.2 billion, marking a 5% increase from the previous year. Net income for 2024 grew by 10% to $226 million, with an EBITDA increase of 10% to $360 million, reflecting strong operational performance. Trex projects a 5-7% revenue growth for 2025, driven by new product lines and premium offerings, alongside plans to expand its Arkansas facility and enhance digital transformation efforts.

In other developments, Truist Securities revised its price target for Trex to $90, down from $100, while maintaining a Buy rating on the company’s shares. The adjustment follows Trex’s financial results that surpassed Wall Street’s expectations, with a notable strategy of maintaining higher inventory levels and introducing new railing products. This strategy aligns with the company’s guidance projecting mid-single-digit revenue growth, despite challenges in the stagnant repair and remodel market. Analyst Keith Hughes from Truist emphasized the company’s strong performance and potential for continued growth, particularly highlighting the significant drop in channel inventory as a positive trend. These recent developments reflect Trex’s proactive management and strategic initiatives aimed at sustaining growth amidst broader market challenges.

This article was generated with the support of AI and reviewed by an editor. For more information see our T&C.

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