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Investing.com - Jefferies downgraded Lynas Rare Earths Ltd (ASX:LYC) (OTC:LYSDY) from Buy to Hold while setting a price target of AUD12.50. The stock, currently trading at $9.70, has surged 145% year-to-date and is approaching its 52-week high of $9.86, according to InvestingPro data.
The downgrade comes as Jefferies believes the stock is currently pricing in much of its potential upside despite improved market dynamics that have positioned the rare earths producer favorably. This view aligns with InvestingPro’s analysis, which indicates the stock is trading at elevated multiples with a P/E ratio of 270x and appears overvalued based on its Fair Value model.
Lynas has secured an opportunity to solidify its growth profile through 2030 via an underwritten $750 million placement and a $75 million share purchase plan (SPP), according to Jefferies.
The research firm notes that Lynas appears well-positioned to achieve production growth and diversification, which should support its current valuation.
Jefferies expects that securing strategic new offtakes or downstream partnerships will be important factors for Lynas to maintain its valuation going forward.
In other recent news, Lynas Rare Earths has reported notable developments that have caught the attention of investors and analysts alike. The company’s recent quarterly results revealed NdPr oxide production of 2.1 kilotons, surpassing JPMorgan’s forecast by 22%. However, REO sales of 2.83 kilotons fell 12% below expectations. Despite this, the average basket selling price of $60 per kilogram exceeded forecasts by 22%, which helped to counterbalance increased production costs and capital expenditures.
JPMorgan responded to these results by upgrading Lynas Rare Earths’ stock rating from Underweight to Neutral and significantly increasing its price target from AUD4.90 to AUD10.00. Additionally, Jefferies upgraded Lynas Rare Earths from Underperform to Buy, raising its price target to AUD10.00 from AUD6.40. This upgrade was influenced by the U.S. Department of Defense’s agreement with MP Materials, securing a 10-year floor price of US$110 per kilogram for NdPr. These developments reflect the evolving dynamics in the rare earth market and the strategic positioning of Lynas Rare Earths.
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