Jefferies initiates Columbia Banking with Hold, sets $27 target

Published 20/05/2025, 22:22
Jefferies initiates Columbia Banking with Hold, sets $27 target

Tuesday, Jefferies began coverage on Columbia Banking System (NASDAQ:COLB) shares, assigning a Hold rating and setting a price target of $27.00. The $5.2 billion market cap bank, currently trading at a P/E ratio of 10.37x, is being analyzed for its prospects regarding the upcoming acquisition of Pacific Premier . According to InvestingPro data, five analysts have recently revised their earnings estimates upward for the upcoming period, suggesting positive sentiment about the bank’s future.

The acquisition is anticipated to enhance Columbia Banking System’s presence in the Western United States and improve its scale. While concerns exist about the short-term impact on the company’s stock during integration, the bank’s strong financial foundation is evident in its impressive 29-year streak of consistent dividend payments, currently yielding 5.79%. For deeper insights into COLB’s valuation and growth prospects, InvestingPro subscribers have access to comprehensive analysis and additional ProTips.

Jefferies points out that while the expansion strategy could be beneficial in the long run, Columbia Banking System might experience below-average loan growth in the future. The firm expects the bank’s long-term loan growth rates to be in the low to mid single-digit range, which is considered to be lower than what is typical among peers in the industry.

The analyst’s statement underscores a cautious outlook for the bank’s performance following the merger. "We are initiating coverage of Columbia Banking System with a HOLD rating and a $27 price target. While the pending acquisition of Pacific Premier is expected to expand the company’s Western US footprint and improve scale, we believe that this deal could result in a near-term overhang on shares as the integration process unfolds," said the Jefferies analyst.

In addition to the integration challenges, the forecast for loan growth is also a factor in the Hold rating. The analyst adds, "We also anticipate that long-term loan growth rates will be below peer levels, in the low to mid single-digit range."

Investors and stakeholders of Columbia Banking System will be watching closely to see how the acquisition of Pacific Premier will influence the company’s market performance and whether the anticipated expansion will translate into significant growth for the banking institution. InvestingPro analysis indicates the bank maintains a "GOOD" overall financial health score, suggesting a solid foundation for executing its growth strategy. The platform’s Fair Value analysis suggests the stock may be slightly undervalued at current levels.

In other recent news, Columbia Banking System reported its first-quarter 2025 earnings, surpassing analysts’ expectations with an operating earnings per share (EPS) of $0.67, compared to the forecasted $0.63. Revenue also exceeded projections, reaching $491.37 million against an expected $482.62 million. The company has announced the acquisition of Pacific Premier Bancorp (NASDAQ:PPBI), a strategic move that aims to expand its presence in Southern California. This merger, valued at approximately $2 billion, is expected to enhance Columbia’s market position, especially in the Los Angeles area, and is anticipated to contribute operational synergies.

Citi analyst Benjamin Gerlinger adjusted the price target on Columbia Banking System to $24 from $30, maintaining a Neutral rating, reflecting the operational challenges and integration risks associated with the acquisition. DA Davidson upgraded Pacific Premier Bancorp’s stock from ’Buy’ to ’Neutral’ following the merger announcement, noting potential value creation for shareholders. Columbia Banking System’s recent shareholder meeting also saw the election of eleven board directors and the approval of Deloitte & Touche LLP as the independent auditor for the fiscal year ending December 31, 2025. These developments indicate Columbia Banking System’s ongoing strategic expansion and shareholder support for its management and future direction.

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