Jefferies maintains hold on Hawaiian Electric stock, target at $10

Published 11/02/2025, 12:02
Jefferies maintains hold on Hawaiian Electric stock, target at $10

On Tuesday, Jefferies reaffirmed a Hold rating on Hawaiian Electric (NYSE:HE) shares with a steady price target of $10.00, close to the current trading price of $10.08. The stock has shown resilience with a 6.3% gain over the past week, though it remains down 35% over the last six months. The firm’s analysis focused on the recent Hawaii Supreme Court decision that influences the company’s financial outlook. According to InvestingPro data, analyst consensus remains cautious, with price targets ranging from $9 to $11. The court’s ruling aids in clarifying the potential settlement of approximately $4 billion related to the Maui wildfires that occurred in 2023.

The analyst from Jefferies identified the court’s decision as favorable for Hawaiian Electric, indicating a step towards resolving the financial uncertainties tied to the wildfires. InvestingPro’s Financial Health Score indicates a ’FAIR’ overall rating, despite current challenges. However, they noted that for the stock to experience a meaningful rise, there must be legislative clarity on how similar future incidents will be managed financially. InvestingPro analysis suggests the stock is currently undervalued compared to its Fair Value, with additional insights available in the comprehensive Pro Research Report. The prospect of such wildfire-related legislation and its potential impact on the company’s stock will likely become evident in the coming months, around April or May.

Hawaiian Electric has been at the center of attention due to the 2023 Maui wildfires, which resulted in significant financial and operational challenges. With a market capitalization of $1.74 billion and total debt of $3.89 billion, the settlement process has been closely watched by investors, as it plays a crucial role in the company’s financial health. The company maintains strong liquidity with a current ratio of 9.09, though it reported a loss in the last twelve months.

The utility company operates in a state prone to natural disasters, such as wildfires, making legislative measures critical for its long-term stability and investor confidence. The outcome of the legislative session will be pivotal in determining Hawaiian Electric’s financial strategies and risk management for similar events in the future.

Investors and stakeholders in Hawaiian Electric are advised to monitor the developments in the state legislature, as these could have a direct impact on the company’s stock performance and strategic direction.

In other recent news, Hawaiian Electric has been in the limelight due to several key developments. The company has been granted a favorable legal ruling regarding a $4 billion settlement related to the Maui wildfire, potentially reducing financial uncertainties and positively impacting its financials. Meanwhile, Jefferies analyst Julian Dumoulin-Smith adjusted the price target for Hawaiian Electric, reducing it to $10.00 from the previous $10.50, while maintaining a Hold rating on the stock.

In another development, Hawaiian Electric received coverage from a Jefferies analyst who adjusted the forecast for fiscal years 2025 and 2026, taking into account recent mergers, acquisitions, and divestitures. The analyst also factored in an increase of roughly $110 million to pro forma net debt to reflect the net cash outflow from transactions.

On the earnings front, Hawaiian Electric reported a consolidated net loss of $104.4 million for the third quarter, largely due to one-time wildfire liabilities and an asset impairment charge. However, excluding these items, the core net income was $52.2 million. The company also strengthened its cash position, with approximately $678 million on hand after a successful equity offering. These are some of the recent developments surrounding Hawaiian Electric.

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